TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
4ikibamboniof 4ikibamboni, Power Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbfab…f067backed Power Rangers58c3,741$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,151.4448057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Power Rangers62c3,694$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.171,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Power Rangers46c3,439$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.1289741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked 4ikibamboni37c3,288$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.681,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked 4ikibamboni38c2,999$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.2695342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 4ikibamboni43c2,792$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.51,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked 4ikibamboni72c2,537$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.7886659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Power Rangers63c1,942$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.2277256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 4ikibamboni40c1,914$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.72,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Power Rangers1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158035%28 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Power Rangers1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%0 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed 4ikibamboni39c713.54$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.3431835.8%114 W · 204 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed 4ikibamboni42c710.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.3434442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed 4ikibamboni37c676.28$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.3665625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Power Rangers50c674.04$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.487964.6%51 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Power Rangers48c655.07$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.0432548.9%159 W · 166 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Power Rangers58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3481,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9705…7442backed 4ikibamboni38c575.79$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.593528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4309…03a6backed Power Rangers45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed Power Rangers35c447.91$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.771020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-65.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 4ikibamboni50c420.64$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9771143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed Power Rangers59c416.94$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9958356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb24f…3432backed Power Rangers76c400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30413742.3%58 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed 4ikibamboni38c366.26$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2710933%36 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed 4ikibamboni55c358.59$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4791553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed 4ikibamboni45c269$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.916055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed 4ikibamboni48c244.25$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6112065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked 4ikibamboni72c241.44$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4415069.3%104 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked 4ikibamboni50c233$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.514655.5%81 W · 65 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed 4ikibamboni50c227$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.57341.1%30 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked 4ikibamboni50c215.14$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5712255.7%68 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Power Rangers6c200.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43323%10 W · 322 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-57.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed 4ikibamboni36c200$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12996245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed 4ikibamboni50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9926147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe123…b4ffbacked 4ikibamboni54c197.83$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked 4ikibamboni50c193$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.528145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 4ikibamboni42c191.23$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.961,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a83…0be8backed Power Rangers42c181.33$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.15545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 4ikibamboni39c172.07$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.361,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Power Rangers54c139.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.031,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Power Rangers51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7054648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed5a…656cbacked Power Rangers76c131.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48bf…f7e2backed 4ikibamboni38c129$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.983743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf120…ce3cbacked 4ikibamboni41c114.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.631947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed 4ikibamboni50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5531865.1%207 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked 4ikibamboni50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014856.8%84 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed 4ikibamboni41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5654445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48a…ef6fbacked 4ikibamboni52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ed…0f5dbacked 4ikibamboni52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed 4ikibamboni73c93.24$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9813764.2%88 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 4ikibamboni40c92.28$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8373554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Power Rangers31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1378516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed 4ikibamboni41c90$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed Power Rangers61c76.07$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.438759.4%230 W · 157 L+26.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked 4ikibamboni42c75.98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.071747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Power Rangers70c70$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496762.7%42 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked 4ikibamboni56c63.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.054768.1%32 W · 15 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 4ikibamboni50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed 4ikibamboni68c57.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.621769.1%150 W · 67 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda91…d760backed 4ikibamboni45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.517340.5%70 W · 103 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ec9…1873backed 4ikibamboni33c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.619839.4%78 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Power Rangers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2592561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Power Rangers61c46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0647358.6%277 W · 196 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d28…ad7cbacked 4ikibamboni44c45.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.683920.5%8 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked 4ikibamboni69c42.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.297471.6%53 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed 4ikibamboni69c39.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3681345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 4ikibamboni33c38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2966545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed 4ikibamboni56c37.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.562352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed Power Rangers60c35.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2738244.5%170 W · 212 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb08b…e878backed Power Rangers58c34.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.823464.7%22 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c04…bb65backed 4ikibamboni64c29.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Power Rangers51c29.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1914848%71 W · 77 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed 4ikibamboni35c28.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5819449%95 W · 99 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53d6…c414backed Power Rangers73c27.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b6f…aab3backed 4ikibamboni70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.542660.1%256 W · 170 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed 4ikibamboni55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.817443.1%75 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd181…6a2bbacked 4ikibamboni73c23.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2917660.2%106 W · 70 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked 4ikibamboni74c18.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7511169.4%77 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.