Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7462cc4c9fa20ea792369e8c8707bc4aa7a76234ef87885126fd8da31f106163
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof 4ikibamboni, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Power Rangers | 38c | 5,100$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.95 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Power Rangers | 53c | 4,091$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.36 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed 4ikibamboni | 41c | 2,684$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.23 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Power Rangers | 57c | 2,306$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.4 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked 4ikibamboni | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 4ikibamboni | 48c | 1,470$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.54 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 4ikibamboni | 47c | 1,431$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.12 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 4ikibamboni | 62c | 1,423$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.47 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 4ikibamboni | 42c | 1,232$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Power Rangers | 60c | 1,165$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.83 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 4ikibamboni | 46c | 1,156$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.05 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed 4ikibamboni | 19c | 919.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.52 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed 4ikibamboni | 44c | 799.98$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed 4ikibamboni | 22c | 779.26$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Power Rangers | 67c | 707.12$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.82 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Power Rangers | 57c | 705.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.13 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed 4ikibamboni | 46c | 680.13$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.77 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 650$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 471.93$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.71 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked 4ikibamboni | 45c | 443.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 4ikibamboni | 45c | 416.26$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.88 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Power Rangers | 63c | 357.45$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.95 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 4ikibamboni | 63c | 271.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed 4ikibamboni | 16c | 269$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked 4ikibamboni | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Power Rangers | 80c | 230$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…f8a1backed 4ikibamboni | 20c | 230$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Power Rangers | 64c | 210$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Power Rangers | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Power Rangers | 56c | 180.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 4ikibamboni | 9c | 180$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 4ikibamboni | 46c | 165.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers | 52c | 155.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 4ikibamboni | 37c | 144.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Power Rangers | 54c | 135.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed 4ikibamboni | 63c | 108$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked 4ikibamboni | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed 4ikibamboni | 62c | 99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Power Rangers | 65c | 98.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked 4ikibamboni | 63c | 91.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked 4ikibamboni | 20c | 89.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed 4ikibamboni | 35c | 75.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed 4ikibamboni | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Power Rangers | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked 4ikibamboni | 37c | 54.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed 4ikibamboni | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Power Rangers | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed 4ikibamboni | 62c | 40.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Power Rangers | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Power Rangers | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 30.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked 4ikibamboni | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Power Rangers | 70c | 15.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner4ikibamboni won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.