Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5376a06f8ac11c1e15b99851a22c2fff6338df54c37116ad24b4937b8682ec2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof Team Nemesis, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 21,970$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.31 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Nemesis | 0c | 20,519$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 5,000$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.52 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…74a7backed PlayTime | 77c | 3,237$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 76c | 2,633$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.85 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PlayTime | 72c | 2,400$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 2,018$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.14 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed PlayTime | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Team Nemesis | 14c | 1,762$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.41 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PlayTime | 78c | 1,531$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.42 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 1,515$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.48 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked PlayTime | 78c | 1,066$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.34 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 1,052$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.45 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed PlayTime | 77c | 1,039$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.25 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Nemesis | 9c | 807.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PlayTime | 75c | 794.64$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.63 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 733.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PlayTime | 77c | 664.07$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PlayTime | 80c | 630$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.31 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 578.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 509.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…944cbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed Team Nemesis | 6c | 488.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PlayTime | 75c | 480$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed PlayTime | 78c | 476.18$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 449.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 441.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Team Nemesis | 20c | 425$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…3075backed PlayTime | 76c | 415.61$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Nemesis | 19c | 410.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 375$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PlayTime | 72c | 354.93$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 349.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 306.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PlayTime | 74c | 268.73$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 265.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked PlayTime | 73c | 262.95$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Nemesis | 19c | 251.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked PlayTime | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 248$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 244.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed PlayTime | 77c | 242.32$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 17c | 228.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked PlayTime | 77c | 226.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Team Nemesis | 13c | 216.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 210.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Team Nemesis | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Team Nemesis | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Team Nemesis | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Team Nemesis | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 192.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Nemesis | 8c | 177.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4c…c8c6backed PlayTime | 80c | 173.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 147.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 142.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed PlayTime | 80c | 137.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…ad7cbacked Team Nemesis | 23c | 132.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed PlayTime | 72c | 131$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 121.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 111.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed PlayTime | 78c | 107.32$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 105.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed PlayTime | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Team Nemesis | 17c | 99.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed PlayTime | 74c | 93.08$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked PlayTime | 71c | 86.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 84.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked PlayTime | 77c | 64.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed PlayTime | 80c | 54.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked PlayTime | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 49.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed PlayTime | 77c | 46.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed PlayTime | 77c | 39.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed PlayTime | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…23dfbacked PlayTime | 77c | 25.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…e878backed PlayTime | 80c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PlayTime | 79c | 23.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed PlayTime | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed PlayTime | 79c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed PlayTime | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPlayTime won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
- Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)PlayTime won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.