Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6840dfa304795dbcd2c9758d0c068f6fde98ccfda793a627f788f050ac51fdc0

Rebuilt 56 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: PlayTimeof Team Nemesis, PlayTime
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $51,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,726 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Nemesis	19c	2,750$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.49	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Team Nemesis	20c	2,450$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	-13.8wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed PlayTime	80c	2,027$1,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.43	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Nemesis	9c	1,725$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.92	587	46.5%273 W · 314 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Team Nemesis	3c	1,687$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.81	165	39.4%65 W · 100 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed PlayTime	79c	1,612$1,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.52	185	50.8%94 W · 91 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Team Nemesis	11c	1,522$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.46	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Nemesis	9c	1,476$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.55	301	46.2%139 W · 162 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Team Nemesis	21c	1,435$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	208	27.9%58 W · 150 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Nemesis	9c	1,017$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.71	569	45.2%257 W · 312 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Nemesis	8c	1,003$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.87	225	43.6%98 W · 127 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Team Nemesis	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	211	0.5%1 W · 210 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-99.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Team Nemesis	21c	935.95$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	106	37.7%40 W · 66 L	-9.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Team Nemesis	9c	850.85$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.69	520	46.5%242 W · 278 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Nemesis	20c	800$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	233	42.9%100 W · 133 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked PlayTime	79c	702.29$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.48	338	67.8%229 W · 109 L	+16.0wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed PlayTime	80c	625$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125	145	62.1%90 W · 55 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Team Nemesis	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	139	41.7%58 W · 81 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Team Nemesis	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed PlayTime	79c	500$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb6…944cbacked Team Nemesis	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Nemesis	20c	499.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	592	54.1%320 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Team Nemesis	4c	491.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.67	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Team Nemesis	16c	488.39$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.74	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed PlayTime	80c	454.3$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.86	711	43%306 W · 405 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Nemesis	8c	438.66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.39	301	38.9%117 W · 184 L	-20.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Nemesis	19c	399.07$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.82	805	44.6%359 W · 446 L	-25.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked Team Nemesis	19c	363.16$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	18	50%9 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Team Nemesis	20c	350$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	577	35%202 W · 375 L	-14.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Team Nemesis	21c	296.57$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Team Nemesis	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	156	43.6%68 W · 88 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked PlayTime	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce8…75f2backed Team Nemesis	11c	188.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	121	32.2%39 W · 82 L	-11.0wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Team Nemesis	19c	153.68$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	177	37.9%67 W · 110 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Nemesis	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	913	56.1%512 W · 401 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Nemesis	21c	150$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	335	49.9%167 W · 168 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed PlayTime	79c	131.98$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.72	324	41.7%135 W · 189 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed PlayTime	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	259	56.8%147 W · 112 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Nemesis	14c	106.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.16	1,154	47.7%550 W · 604 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…32a5backed Team Nemesis	10c	103.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Team Nemesis	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Team Nemesis	21c	99.31$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	101	38.6%39 W · 62 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Nemesis	20c	85.02$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	131	48.1%63 W · 68 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab5…35d8backed PlayTime	80c	70$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Team Nemesis	20c	57.9$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	137	31.4%43 W · 94 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa51d…39ecbacked PlayTime	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Team Nemesis	22c	45.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	92	38%35 W · 57 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x498b…ca86backed PlayTime	78c	24.36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.36	107	63.6%68 W · 39 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed PlayTime	80c	20.37$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.07	96	58.3%56 W · 40 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked PlayTime	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	+25%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerPlayTime won
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)PlayTime won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event