Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe62e9613110bc82b178f54768887154deee19a5505e03578274ef50badd35015

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: PlayTimeof Team Nemesis, PlayTime
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $50,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $68,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,697 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7e8a…5f49backed PlayTime	77c	5,000$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,149.99	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5739…74a7backed PlayTime	76c	4,408$3,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,038.8	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis	10c	1,565$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.03	1,120	36.1%404 W · 716 L	-39.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis	23c	1,551$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed PlayTime	79c	1,500$1,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.19	346	67.9%235 W · 111 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff0…c7aabacked Team Nemesis	24c	1,408$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.92	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Nemesis	17c	1,335$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.97	711	43%306 W · 405 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PlayTime	76c	1,271$966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.32	866	59.6%516 W · 350 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Team Nemesis	23c	1,133$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.23	292	43.2%126 W · 166 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Team Nemesis	3c	1,120$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.98	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed Team Nemesis	24c	1,070$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked Team Nemesis	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed Team Nemesis	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	376	55.1%207 W · 169 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Team Nemesis	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	211	0.5%1 W · 210 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-99.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aba…debfbacked Team Nemesis	2c	976.11$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Nemesis	17c	900.95$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.55	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa0…40b3backed Team Nemesis	3c	840.11$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Team Nemesis	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	602	51.2%308 W · 294 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Team Nemesis	12c	748.35$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	488	43.6%213 W · 275 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis	12c	724.24$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.29	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3355…dd2fbacked Team Nemesis	24c	690$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.5	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis	15c	676.74$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.24	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Team Nemesis	23c	591.69$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.56	340	41.2%140 W · 200 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis	8c	519.88$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.59	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Nemesis	16c	505.62$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.34	301	38.9%117 W · 184 L	-20.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed Team Nemesis	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Team Nemesis	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	515	44.9%231 W · 284 L	+40.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Nemesis	22c	484.31$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.17	589	43%253 W · 336 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb6…944cbacked Team Nemesis	23c	413.8$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.17	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Nemesis	12c	403.23$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.62	892	38.1%340 W · 552 L	-42.7wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x703e…9828backed Team Nemesis	16c	388.42$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.57	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Nemesis	20c	387.44$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.69	793	41.7%331 W · 462 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed PlayTime	79c	374.56$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.48	721	54%389 W · 332 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Team Nemesis	23c	365$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.19	174	43.1%75 W · 99 L	-8.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd592…9618backed Team Nemesis	25c	360.19$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.27	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	-9.3wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Team Nemesis	18c	332.11$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	526	49.2%259 W · 267 L	+21.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Nemesis	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	-19.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked PlayTime	72c	250$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	338	67.8%229 W · 109 L	+16.0wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Team Nemesis	28c	250$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	577	35%202 W · 375 L	-14.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef5…e9acbacked Team Nemesis	23c	234.25$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.38	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked PlayTime	77c	227.27$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.27	150	69.3%104 W · 46 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Nemesis	16c	226.74$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.14	290	47.9%139 W · 151 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Team Nemesis	24c	200.88$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.21	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Nemesis	23c	190.09$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.72	669	47.1%315 W · 354 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed PlayTime	74c	188.82$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.74	410	56.8%233 W · 177 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Team Nemesis	9c	150.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	124	32.3%40 W · 84 L	-10.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked PlayTime	79c	133.52$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.55	665	45.6%303 W · 362 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed Team Nemesis	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Nemesis	12c	127$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.72	500	32.2%161 W · 339 L	-47.1wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed Team Nemesis	23c	108.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Team Nemesis	27c	105.03$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.36	146	41.8%61 W · 85 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked PlayTime	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	658	63.1%415 W · 243 L	+17.5wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked PlayTime	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	418	64.1%268 W · 150 L	+17.2wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed PlayTime	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.8	813	45.1%367 W · 446 L	-26.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9165…229dbacked PlayTime	79c	97.51$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.67	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cad…48b5backed Team Nemesis	24c	95.83$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+72.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Nemesis	26c	93$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.18	335	49.9%167 W · 168 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Team Nemesis	20c	90$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	107	41.1%44 W · 63 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc89…095cbacked Team Nemesis	23c	83$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.09	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Team Nemesis	15c	77.47$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.62	74	24.3%18 W · 56 L	-8.3wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Team Nemesis	23c	75$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	153	42.5%65 W · 88 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34ec…2711backed Team Nemesis	25c	64$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	100	39%39 W · 61 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked Team Nemesis	20c	62.97$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dcb…9f08backed Team Nemesis	24c	62$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4d…44e5backed Team Nemesis	23c	55.52$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.77	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Team Nemesis	23c	51.04$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Nemesis	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	301	46.2%139 W · 162 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Team Nemesis	23c	48.02$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Team Nemesis	24c	47.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.46	127	40.2%51 W · 76 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed PlayTime	74c	40.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	76cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed PlayTime	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	92	39.1%36 W · 56 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked PlayTime	75c	26.53$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.52	148	48%71 W · 77 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…5f74backed PlayTime	76c	26.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.33	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPlayTime won
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)PlayTime won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event