CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe438b4fddf6bc7675205b1b1d7083ba20df521945562fc94dca448a9267af7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yawara Esports | 39c | 4,186$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.67 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yawara Esports | 48c | 3,606$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.58 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 2,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.99 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd | 55c | 1,637$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.09 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Keyd | 52c | 1,590$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.22 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Keyd | 60c | 1,135$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.65 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Keyd | 55c | 921.95$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.22 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Keyd | 53c | 787.46$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.71 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 56c | 720.68$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.43 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked Keyd | 74c | 675.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Keyd | 76c | 672$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 649.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Keyd | 71c | 600$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…aa9fbacked Yawara Esports | 21c | 568.38$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Keyd | 79c | 552.87$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keyd | 52c | 543.09$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.33 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Keyd | 53c | 514.71$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.53 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Keyd | 76c | 490.51$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…3c9fbacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 480.32$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.1 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yawara Esports | 19c | 465.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yawara Esports | 10c | 456.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 455.47$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Keyd | 51c | 451.96$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.46 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Keyd | 68c | 442.7$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 69c | 436.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 434.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556a…53a4backed Keyd | 54c | 411.86$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Yawara Esports | 48c | 401.59$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.49 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Keyd | 75c | 399.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Yawara Esports | 45c | 387.81$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.61 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Keyd | 51c | 384$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Keyd | 58c | 373.03$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.97 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked Yawara Esports | 48c | 343.3$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Yawara Esports | 25c | 336.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Keyd | 52c | 334.2$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.64 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yawara Esports | 48c | 331.75$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.09 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 329.75$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.09 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yawara Esports | 16c | 311.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 289.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 52c | 289.17$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.01 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yawara Esports | 15c | 273$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Keyd | 52c | 271.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.43 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Keyd | 53c | 266.53$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.27 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yawara Esports | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Keyd | 53c | 261.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Keyd | 52c | 259.02$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Keyd | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Keyd | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yawara Esports | 28c | 247$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Keyd | 51c | 240.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Yawara Esports | 6c | 232.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Keyd | 79c | 222.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Keyd | 50c | 215.36$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Yawara Esports | 47c | 211.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yawara Esports | 44c | 208.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1810…ac44backed Yawara Esports | 48c | 208.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Keyd | 54c | 205.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…db31backed Yawara Esports | 31c | 205$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Keyd | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 60c | 198.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Keyd | 52c | 198.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…1e98backed Yawara Esports | 51c | 197.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd | 63c | 189.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 187$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Yawara Esports | 48c | 187$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Keyd | 56c | 184.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Keyd | 70c | 180.42$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Yawara Esports | 45c | 169.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Yawara Esports | 22c | 167.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Yawara Esports | 51c | 164.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Yawara Esports | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Yawara Esports | 47c | 159.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yawara Esports | 48c | 155$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Keyd | 51c | 154.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yawara Esports | 40c | 153.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f06…a799backed Yawara Esports | 49c | 140.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd | 48c | 137.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Keyd | 52c | 131.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.01 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Keyd | 69c | 129.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Yawara Esports | 49c | 121$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ed90backed Keyd | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Keyd | 51c | 109.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yawara Esports | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Yawara Esports | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Keyd | 49c | 101.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Yawara Esports | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 264 | 48.1%127 W · 137 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Keyd | 51c | 98.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Keyd | 67c | 98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 97.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Keyd | 54c | 94.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Keyd | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Keyd | 51c | 89.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Yawara Esports | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Keyd | 68c | 82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Keyd | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Keyd | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Keyd | 54c | 74.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Keyd | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Keyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.