CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf38d3ca60e881ba243b5f3eb8348d8ae624ee0559fa68a3988af868d24c6650a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 5,135$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.6 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Keyd | 49c | 1,990$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.57 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Yawara Esports | 53c | 1,936$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.75 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Keyd | 50c | 1,731$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.03 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yawara Esports | 42c | 1,453$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.32 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 46c | 1,117$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.95 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd | 64c | 1,031$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.96 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Keyd | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.21 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Keyd | 48c | 930.95$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.17 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Keyd | 56c | 891.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.08 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 60c | 864.17$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.47 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 696.71$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.39 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yawara Esports | 24c | 690.78$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.47 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ed…64fbbacked Keyd | 50c | 670.78$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Keyd | 52c | 650.17$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.54 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd | 60c | 636.77$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.49 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 577.72$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.87 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 510$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.05 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 493.43$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.7 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 493.4$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.59 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked Yawara Esports | 53c | 468.57$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.48 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…3c9fbacked Yawara Esports | 54c | 452.17$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.92 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Keyd | 48c | 448.77$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Keyd | 55c | 444.29$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Keyd | 50c | 421.06$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.53 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yawara Esports | 56c | 420.26$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.43 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Keyd | 55c | 404.93$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.53 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Keyd | 54c | 304$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Keyd | 59c | 299$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.07 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Keyd | 49c | 252.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Keyd | 59c | 251.3$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yawara Esports | 16c | 250.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Keyd | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.08 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Keyd | 55c | 246.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f06…a799backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 225.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Keyd | 50c | 213$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Yawara Esports | 53c | 210.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…1e98backed Yawara Esports | 53c | 203.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Keyd | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Keyd | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Keyd | 51c | 196.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 70c | 194.52$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 192.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd | 73c | 178.4$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Keyd | 50c | 171.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Keyd | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd | 51c | 149.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9208…08c5backed Keyd | 50c | 145.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yawara Esports | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Keyd | 45c | 127.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Keyd | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 111.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Keyd | 54c | 100.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Keyd | 55c | 100.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Keyd | 73c | 98.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Yawara Esports | 53c | 97.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yawara Esports | 53c | 88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Yawara Esports | 44c | 86.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Keyd | 43c | 86.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Yawara Esports | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Keyd | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 76.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Keyd | 48c | 74.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Keyd | 60c | 67.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Keyd | 72c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ca…19c8backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 63.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Keyd | 50c | 62.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Keyd | 65c | 61.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keyd | 53c | 61.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Keyd | 55c | 56.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Keyd | 47c | 55.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Yawara Esports | 51c | 55.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Yawara Esports | 57c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 48.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 48.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Keyd | 71c | 42.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Keyd | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Keyd | 74c | 40.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 37.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…bf0cbacked Keyd | 48c | 37.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Keyd | 44c | 30.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 29.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…4333backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yawara Esports | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 49c | 25.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x082a…cc8abacked Yawara Esports | 54c | 23.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Keyd | 72c | 17.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group BKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Keyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.