CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d3066032c31e27bab10d955d3f43a084d38a249bb12fe7e246207e28cdbe45a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yawara Esports | 37c | 2,287$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.49 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Keyd | 67c | 2,216$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.05 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd | 69c | 1,386$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.02 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yawara Esports | 33c | 1,263$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.3 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Yawara Esports | 31c | 878.93$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.62 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd | 67c | 862$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.51 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Keyd | 65c | 708.96$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.78 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Keyd | 63c | 635.04$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.04 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…3c9fbacked Yawara Esports | 34c | 612.36$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.84 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Yawara Esports | 31c | 316.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Keyd | 68c | 316.75$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd | 67c | 283.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked Yawara Esports | 35c | 233.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yawara Esports | 17c | 223.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yawara Esports | 35c | 216.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yawara Esports | 35c | 216.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Keyd | 63c | 205.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 72c | 198.2$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd | 64c | 190$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed Yawara Esports | 32c | 170.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971f…1e98backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 115.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f06…a799backed Yawara Esports | 34c | 115.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yawara Esports | 35c | 112$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Keyd | 68c | 109.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Yawara Esports | 41c | 108.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Keyd | 69c | 101.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 97.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yawara Esports | 28c | 81.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Yawara Esports | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Keyd | 71c | 70.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yawara Esports | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yawara Esports | 37c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Keyd | 66c | 57.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Keyd | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Keyd | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Yawara Esports | 28c | 46.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Keyd | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…4333backed Yawara Esports | 34c | 44.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked Yawara Esports | 36c | 42.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Yawara Esports | 30c | 37.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd | 71c | 33.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Keyd | 61c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Keyd | 72c | 31.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Keyd | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Keyd | 65c | 18.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 67c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group BKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Keyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.