NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe57f0607902e89b807accc293e0e6f36593f4f90d550ca3c9ecda7b0f813a9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 1c | 40,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 40c | 7,286$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.31 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 60c | 4,454$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 25c | 2,351$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.7 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 40c | 1,307$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.79 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Over | 59c | 1,170$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.7 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 1,077$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.31 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Under | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 23c | 980.79$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.48 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 60c | 839.94$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.3 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 60c | 668.08$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.23 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 68c | 567.82$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.39 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 51c | 476$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.24 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 59c | 367.74$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Under | 24c | 210.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b4…73a6backed Over | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 161.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 39c | 157.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Under | 44c | 128.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 73c | 125$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…ed62backed Under | 44c | 96.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…7559backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 38c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed Under | 24c | 73.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228e…08efbacked Over | 78c | 63.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…6da8backed Over | 60c | 63.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 60c | 62.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1992…30e2backed Under | 24c | 52.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 61c | 44.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 57c | 42.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 38.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 35.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Over | 61c | 32.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 39c | 29.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 29.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 25.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 73c | 23.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 54c | 21.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcae7…f4cdbacked Over | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…0f77backed Over | 66c | 15.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…e878backed Over | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.