Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea7407d8cf6bc3a0db74119a12e24eb5bef70fa74cbb6791503ad913b7904fa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amaru Gamingof Amaru Gaming, Estar Backs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Estar Backs | 2c | 4,019$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Amaru Gaming | 70c | 2,675$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.17 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Estar Backs | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Amaru Gaming | 50c | 2,495$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.74 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Amaru Gaming | 62c | 2,478$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.04 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Amaru Gaming | 43c | 1,572$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.72 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Amaru Gaming | 52c | 1,485$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.41 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Amaru Gaming | 50c | 1,407$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.36 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Amaru Gaming | 37c | 1,353$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.23 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Estar Backs | 75c | 1,329$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.44 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Amaru Gaming | 51c | 1,250$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.24 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Estar Backs | 39c | 1,135$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.21 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Amaru Gaming | 52c | 1,064$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.04 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Estar Backs | 26c | 1,011$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.03 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Estar Backs | 18c | 949.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Estar Backs | 31c | 945.43$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.26 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Estar Backs | 34c | 928.47$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.79 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Estar Backs | 50c | 922$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Estar Backs | 61c | 897.65$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Estar Backs | 36c | 890.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.16 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6c…4fc3backed Estar Backs | 34c | 871.58$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Amaru Gaming | 43c | 867.86$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.85 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Estar Backs | 58c | 829.55$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.14 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Estar Backs | 26c | 803.49$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.93 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Estar Backs | 56c | 763.39$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.1 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Estar Backs | 27c | 750.76$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.46 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Estar Backs | 52c | 712.09$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Estar Backs | 61c | 696.36$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Amaru Gaming | 48c | 691.4$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.34 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 668.74$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.37 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Amaru Gaming | 44c | 653.03$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.87 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Estar Backs | 57c | 620$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.4 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Estar Backs | 71c | 611.4$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.5 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…7ecfbacked Amaru Gaming | 48c | 608.23$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.82 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Amaru Gaming | 46c | 608.14$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.33 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Estar Backs | 67c | 599.99$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.09 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Estar Backs | 64c | 560$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.22 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Estar Backs | 15c | 555.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Estar Backs | 25c | 551.39$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Estar Backs | 27c | 549.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Estar Backs | 56c | 536.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Estar Backs | 62c | 535$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed Estar Backs | 59c | 505.2$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd554…06e6backed Amaru Gaming | 62c | 501.12$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Estar Backs | 68c | 500.38$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.35 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Amaru Gaming | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Estar Backs | 25c | 490.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Amaru Gaming | 70c | 442.82$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Amaru Gaming | 34c | 431.05$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.34 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Amaru Gaming | 44c | 428.6$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Amaru Gaming | 60c | 417.44$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Estar Backs | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed Estar Backs | 33c | 389.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Estar Backs | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Estar Backs | 61c | 350$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Estar Backs | 75c | 349$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.75 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Amaru Gaming | 52c | 346.91$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Amaru Gaming | 47c | 337.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Amaru Gaming | 33c | 332.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.11 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Amaru Gaming | 46c | 306.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.88 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Estar Backs | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Estar Backs | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.33 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Amaru Gaming | 56c | 295.45$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Estar Backs | 51c | 289.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Estar Backs | 35c | 257.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Estar Backs | 31c | 256.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Estar Backs | 55c | 249.98$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Estar Backs | 40c | 249.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked Amaru Gaming | 52c | 249.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Estar Backs | 32c | 238.79$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Estar Backs | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Estar Backs | 52c | 222.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Amaru Gaming | 76c | 214.12$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Estar Backs | 60c | 213.86$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Amaru Gaming | 48c | 212.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Estar Backs | 41c | 207.42$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Estar Backs | 42c | 206.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Estar Backs | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Estar Backs | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Estar Backs | 60c | 183.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 180.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Estar Backs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Estar Backs | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Estar Backs | 46c | 158.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Estar Backs | 54c | 154.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Estar Backs | 49c | 142.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Amaru Gaming | 60c | 142$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…0f14backed Estar Backs | 69c | 136.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Amaru Gaming | 57c | 132.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Estar Backs | 11c | 126.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Estar Backs | 61c | 123.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Amaru Gaming | 49c | 122.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.34 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Amaru Gaming | 78c | 121.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…33d0backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 111.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 111.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 110.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Estar Backs | 53c | 109.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Estar Backs | 44c | 106.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…7541backed Amaru Gaming | 70c | 105.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Amaru Gaming | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs - Game 1 WinnerAmaru Gaming won
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs - Game 2 WinnerEstar Backs won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.