Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bf830c3a58895eb67a85c60aeb9bb746b250397a4180da77d6ce3778bc4ddac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Estar Backsof Amaru Gaming, Estar Backs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Amaru Gaming | 51c | 13,537$6,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,968.17 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce9…c3ccbacked Amaru Gaming | 59c | 4,947$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Estar Backs | 50c | 4,169$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.56 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Estar Backs | 59c | 4,005$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.24 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Estar Backs | 43c | 3,162$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.01 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Amaru Gaming | 11c | 2,779$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.55 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Estar Backs | 48c | 2,612$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.14 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Amaru Gaming | 36c | 2,165$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.49 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Amaru Gaming | 61c | 2,014$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Amaru Gaming | 33c | 1,815$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Estar Backs | 67c | 1,580$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.4 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Estar Backs | 54c | 1,427$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.26 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Estar Backs | 40c | 1,350$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.81 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Estar Backs | 47c | 1,216$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.19 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Estar Backs | 49c | 1,030$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.69 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Estar Backs | 48c | 1,018$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.76 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Amaru Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Amaru Gaming | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Amaru Gaming | 14c | 999.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Amaru Gaming | 54c | 999$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.46 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Amaru Gaming | 29c | 953.32$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Estar Backs | 79c | 892.97$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.88 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Estar Backs | 57c | 870.02$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.15 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Estar Backs | 55c | 805.45$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.45 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Estar Backs | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Estar Backs | 78c | 691.43$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Amaru Gaming | 54c | 658.36$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.32 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Estar Backs | 54c | 631.65$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.75 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Amaru Gaming | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…f8a1backed Amaru Gaming | 16c | 584.19$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Estar Backs | 52c | 563.76$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.61 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Estar Backs | 80c | 519.23$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Estar Backs | 34c | 431.29$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.95 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Estar Backs | 50c | 401.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.11 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…64e8backed Amaru Gaming | 32c | 376.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Estar Backs | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…7384backed Amaru Gaming | 43c | 330$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Estar Backs | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed Estar Backs | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amaru Gaming | 28c | 277.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 269.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Estar Backs | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Amaru Gaming | 61c | 260$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Amaru Gaming | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Estar Backs | 51c | 220.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.91 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Amaru Gaming | 54c | 220$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Amaru Gaming | 49c | 204.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Amaru Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Estar Backs | 38c | 188.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…6185backed Estar Backs | 66c | 185.39$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Amaru Gaming | 55c | 183.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Estar Backs | 43c | 181.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Amaru Gaming | 16c | 142$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Amaru Gaming | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Amaru Gaming | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Amaru Gaming | 59c | 134.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Amaru Gaming | 33c | 125.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 123.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Amaru Gaming | 51c | 120.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Estar Backs | 48c | 116.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…e293backed Estar Backs | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Amaru Gaming | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Estar Backs | 38c | 101.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Estar Backs | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Amaru Gaming | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4c…e3febacked Amaru Gaming | 41c | 96.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Amaru Gaming | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Estar Backs | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Amaru Gaming | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Estar Backs | 76c | 77.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Estar Backs | 58c | 75.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Estar Backs | 79c | 70.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Estar Backs | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amaru Gaming | 50c | 66.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Estar Backs | 41c | 65.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Estar Backs | 41c | 63.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Amaru Gaming | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa851…4dedbacked Estar Backs | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Estar Backs | 42c | 51.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Estar Backs | 79c | 50.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Amaru Gaming | 27c | 50.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed Estar Backs | 50c | 46.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Estar Backs | 43c | 44.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed Amaru Gaming | 44c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0932…ba5abacked Amaru Gaming | 61c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Estar Backs | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Estar Backs | 52c | 34.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Amaru Gaming | 60c | 30.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Amaru Gaming | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Estar Backs | 77c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 27.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Amaru Gaming | 55c | 25.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Amaru Gaming | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsAmaru Gaming won
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs - Game 1 WinnerAmaru Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.