Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ce58f6ac8bfbd92a823f859a38920ccfbc802e86276b28ae17b830914ad72c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Conviction, CCG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked CCG Esports | 17c | 14,958$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.55 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked CCG Esports | 19c | 12,450$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.76 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed CCG Esports | 6c | 8,831$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.27 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed CCG Esports | 12c | 5,275$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Conviction | 74c | 4,232$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.79 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed CCG Esports | 12c | 2,500$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed CCG Esports | 20c | 2,172$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.66 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed CCG Esports | 28c | 1,799$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.78 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked CCG Esports | 29c | 1,746$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed CCG Esports | 11c | 1,493$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed CCG Esports | 30c | 1,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed CCG Esports | 27c | 1,250$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed CCG Esports | 28c | 1,233$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.75 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Conviction | 74c | 1,220$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.61 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Conviction | 73c | 1,218$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.52 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Conviction | 73c | 1,134$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.11 | 241 | 37.8%91 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed CCG Esports | 20c | 1,001$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 414 | 39.6%164 W · 250 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked CCG Esports | 12c | 999.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Conviction | 75c | 959.85$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.9 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Conviction | 72c | 899.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Conviction | 72c | 871.78$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.37 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CCG Esports | 16c | 741.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed CCG Esports | 28c | 721.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Conviction | 75c | 679.85$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.41 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…82b9backed Conviction | 74c | 670.41$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed CCG Esports | 24c | 651.88$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 286 | 38.1%109 W · 177 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed CCG Esports | 25c | 620$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Conviction | 74c | 604.54$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed CCG Esports | 21c | 549.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 333 | 32.7%109 W · 224 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed CCG Esports | 17c | 541.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 266 | 35%93 W · 173 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked CCG Esports | 16c | 533.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed CCG Esports | 30c | 530.11$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction | 80c | 472.53$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed CCG Esports | 25c | 460$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Conviction | 71c | 440.18$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…a13fbacked CCG Esports | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked CCG Esports | 6c | 408.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Conviction | 75c | 404$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Conviction | 71c | 356.66$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Conviction | 79c | 353.09$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Conviction | 73c | 345.4$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Conviction | 77c | 322.39$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc0…9d48backed Conviction | 73c | 305.1$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Conviction | 68c | 300$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Conviction | 62c | 300$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Conviction | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Conviction | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…bc10backed CCG Esports | 18c | 293.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Conviction | 74c | 284.29$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed CCG Esports | 13c | 250.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Conviction | 80c | 250.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked CCG Esports | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 350 | 45.1%158 W · 192 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked CCG Esports | 7c | 225$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…47cebacked Conviction | 76c | 222.35$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Conviction | 74c | 213$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 299 | 42.8%128 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed CCG Esports | 30c | 200.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 158 | 29.7%47 W · 111 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Conviction | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed Conviction | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked CCG Esports | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Conviction | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…7310backed CCG Esports | 15c | 199.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Conviction | 60c | 191$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Conviction | 60c | 191$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Conviction | 60c | 191$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed CCG Esports | 21c | 182.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked CCG Esports | 20c | 159.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked CCG Esports | 30c | 151.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Conviction | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…7f69backed CCG Esports | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Conviction | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…6b31backed Conviction | 73c | 136.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CCG Esports | 25c | 129.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…96f3backed CCG Esports | 23c | 125.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3c1abacked CCG Esports | 17c | 125.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked CCG Esports | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Conviction | 76c | 107$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Conviction | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked CCG Esports | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337f…3506backed CCG Esports | 12c | 98.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…245ebacked CCG Esports | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 952 | 53.8%512 W · 440 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…1e72backed CCG Esports | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 341 | 41.6%142 W · 199 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked CCG Esports | 29c | 88.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…491cbacked CCG Esports | 24c | 87.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Conviction | 46c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed CCG Esports | 12c | 85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked CCG Esports | 15c | 81.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked CCG Esports | 15c | 81.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Conviction | 78c | 78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed CCG Esports | 21c | 74.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Conviction | 78c | 70.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Conviction | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked CCG Esports | 19c | 65.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Conviction | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Conviction | 77c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Conviction | 72c | 59.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed CCG Esports | 21c | 57.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Conviction | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 235 | 62.1%146 W · 89 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05c…ea2cbacked Conviction | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25fe…ba20backed CCG Esports | 28c | 48.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked CCG Esports | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)Conviction won
- Game Handicap: CNV (-2.5) vs CCG Esports (+2.5)Conviction won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerConviction won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.