TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Convictionof Conviction, CCG Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,397
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,659

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,397 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Conviction71c20,641$14,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,027.292254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed CCG Esports29c4,000$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.0190443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed CCG Esports28c3,696$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.8189746.9%421 W · 476 L+43.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked CCG Esports46c3,338$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.071,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed CCG Esports22c3,098$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.6197527.8%271 W · 704 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Conviction72c2,756$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.81,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Conviction70c2,631$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.961,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Conviction59c2,534$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.082,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed CCG Esports31c2,533$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.4775342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed CCG Esports33c2,416$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.8886943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed CCG Esports36c2,232$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.2232939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked CCG Esports29c2,016$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59190937.3%339 W · 570 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed CCG Esports30c1,987$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60061154.7%334 W · 277 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked CCG Esports29c1,882$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.811943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed CCG Esports38c1,586$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.2413632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Conviction72c1,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9996350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eef…803dbacked CCG Esports29c1,291$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9310251%52 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed CCG Esports30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019335.2%68 W · 125 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Conviction54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46084360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked CCG Esports17c999.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17072234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdcb…36c9backed CCG Esports32c891$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2882236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+119.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed CCG Esports33c889.99$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0240446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed CCG Esports27c809.23$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6961055.7%340 W · 270 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed CCG Esports35c750$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.51,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Conviction70c700$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20725345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Conviction72c681.71$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.7510847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked CCG Esports45c654.5$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2667250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Conviction54c648.77$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.7486451.4%444 W · 420 L+52.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction63c634.33$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.61,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked CCG Esports32c631.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Conviction64c630.78$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.741,09147.4%517 W · 574 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Conviction64c623.18$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8447453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd703…9b8bbacked CCG Esports34c619.52$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.615137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf4f…0bf2backed CCG Esports47c525.7$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2473161.3%19 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+49.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed CCG Esports6c508.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.512,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Conviction60c508.21$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.541,85239.8%738 W · 1,114 L-64.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed CCG Esports32c502.64$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15929238.4%112 W · 180 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed CCG Esports36c502.56$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.182,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed CCG Esports28c501.36$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3841343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed CCG Esports8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4054824.3%133 W · 415 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Conviction72c499.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14019959.8%119 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Conviction58c467.05$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0633125.7%85 W · 246 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked CCG Esports30c460$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13818335.5%65 W · 118 L-23.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked CCG Esports29c416.03$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.277841%32 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed CCG Esports25c406.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-43.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked CCG Esports30c400$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.271,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…0f8fbacked CCG Esports43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Conviction65c399.99$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14025265.5%165 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed CCG Esports25c395.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4969841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed CCG Esports45c391.11$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17680750.8%410 W · 397 L+48.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked CCG Esports26c381.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011,45343.4%630 W · 823 L+106.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed CCG Esports26c380$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.466445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed CCG Esports30c364.85$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6948747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Conviction73c335.29$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2939266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked CCG Esports44c320.43$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9929045.5%132 W · 158 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed CCG Esports47c313.94$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.528048.6%136 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Conviction61c302$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.383,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked CCG Esports30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906443.8%28 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe232…6ceabacked CCG Esports7c290$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35219.2%10 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed CCG Esports46c280$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1133632.4%109 W · 227 L-16.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Conviction68c279.64$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6450158.3%292 W · 209 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed CCG Esports36c278.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked CCG Esports36c278.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9925256.3%142 W · 110 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7900…3393backed CCG Esports36c273.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8415656.4%88 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed CCG Esports45c270$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.557151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Conviction65c260.69$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6428250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked CCG Esports44c254.63$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11137933.5%127 W · 252 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Conviction80c250.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6382260.9%501 W · 321 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked CCG Esports19c237.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.142,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x854b…e720backed CCG Esports54c230$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.24042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe251…8effbacked Conviction53c224.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.426949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed CCG Esports28c214.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6053543.4%232 W · 303 L+33.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed CCG Esports30c213.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.757349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a19…86c8backed Conviction61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e75…0dd7backed Conviction66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.233151.7%171 W · 160 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed CCG Esports24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4850945.8%233 W · 276 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Conviction61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7829942.8%128 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked CCG Esports34c199.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9960538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed Conviction75c199.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7925074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked CCG Esports55c193.47$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.246258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed CCG Esports30c183.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5581333%268 W · 545 L-43.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked CCG Esports29c180.75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.421,34847.3%637 W · 711 L-33.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked CCG Esports29c180$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.235045.1%158 W · 192 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…0118backed CCG Esports56c179.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6564…47cebacked Conviction70c179.38$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.435641.1%23 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed CCG Esports30c178.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.721,21343.4%527 W · 686 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed CCG Esports28c177.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4274637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed CCG Esports23c173.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5432253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked CCG Esports37c163.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042540.7%173 W · 252 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Conviction54c152.44$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4315829.7%47 W · 111 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a9…5862backed Conviction66c151.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.412334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Conviction72c147.25$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2579864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed CCG Esports15c145$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7559740.7%243 W · 354 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked CCG Esports10c144.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7813414.9%20 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed CCG Esports28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025853.5%138 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked CCG Esports29c142.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3688544.3%392 W · 493 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Conviction70c141.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.946960.1%282 W · 187 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25fe…ba20backed CCG Esports29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed CCG Esports14c137.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.237758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed CCG Esports27c137.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.571,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.