TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Convictionof Conviction, CCG Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked CCG Esports29c27,605$7,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,927.2490348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Conviction70c20,000$13,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,002.1591854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Conviction73c14,600$10,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,925.612,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed CCG Esports25c3,800$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.977758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked CCG Esports26c3,552$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.761,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Conviction76c3,271$2,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.0698956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed CCG Esports29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.9989943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Conviction67c2,576$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.591,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked CCG Esports3c1,700$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5172234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked CCG Esports26c1,695$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.887844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Conviction75c1,690$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.7812953.5%69 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Conviction66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9996250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed CCG Esports26c1,427$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.132253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed CCG Esports31c1,309$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018036.1%65 W · 115 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed CCG Esports28c1,283$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9913632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed CCG Esports28c1,194$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.261,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked CCG Esports34c1,187$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Conviction72c1,154$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.1267250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Conviction72c1,111$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.3321749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed CCG Esports25c1,101$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.661,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Conviction70c1,050$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…0f8fbacked Conviction67c1,000$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.493565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked Conviction74c999.98$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26012656.3%71 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed CCG Esports27c971.12$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.1275342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed CCG Esports30c925.65$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9986943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Conviction77c909.09$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.091,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf4f…0bf2backed CCG Esports34c880.62$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2963161.3%19 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+49.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed CCG Esports16c859.61$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6713549.6%67 W · 68 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed CCG Esports35c854.82$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.2960855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed CCG Esports30c847.5$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2541133.8%139 W · 272 L-28.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Conviction74c717.08$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3966458%385 W · 279 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked CCG Esports30c703$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.918335.5%65 W · 118 L-23.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed CCG Esports26c652.85$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6333332.7%109 W · 224 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked CCG Esports26c609.53$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.051,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed CCG Esports21c601.33$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1997427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed CCG Esports23c553.09$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2127247.8%130 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed CCG Esports25c540.27$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0723849.2%117 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c05…416cbacked CCG Esports21c527.35$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.471625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Conviction66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17025345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed CCG Esports31c499.97$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9941439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Conviction75c466.67$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6716048.1%77 W · 83 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Conviction71c464.79$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7939266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Conviction76c424.09$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8938655.2%213 W · 173 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked CCG Esports26c413.5$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5127745.1%125 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Conviction65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14025065.6%164 W · 86 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Conviction66c399.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13637647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Conviction79c383.68$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.91,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked CCG Esports25c375$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.072,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed CCG Esports25c366.59$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.12352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe232…6ceabacked CCG Esports7c289.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35219.2%10 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c7b…491cbacked CCG Esports10c288.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2840%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4582…82b9backed Conviction70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7111761.5%72 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked Conviction70c284.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.571057%405 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Conviction71c277.53$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5942455%233 W · 191 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed Conviction79c252.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3125074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2756…e8c7backed Conviction75c251.62$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9623757%135 W · 102 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked CCG Esports13c243.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3247453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Conviction69c243.2$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.279864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Conviction72c235$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.031,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Conviction62c234.34$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0517347.4%82 W · 91 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked CCG Esports26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042540.7%173 W · 252 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed CCG Esports24c225.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3857349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Conviction69c221$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5182836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3737…bfd1backed Conviction78c213.53$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9837957.5%218 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Conviction76c206.56$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.895246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked CCG Esports37c200$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2635341.9%148 W · 205 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction77c199$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.371,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked CCG Esports26c195.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked CCG Esports29c195.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.371,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Conviction65c194.6$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.811,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed CCG Esports27c193.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.211,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Conviction68c185.12$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.62,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Conviction77c180.15$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.831,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Conviction68c179.12$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.731,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed CCG Esports31c178.13$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2674637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Conviction74c161.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.293548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f63…9551backed Conviction74c145.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.545957.6%34 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed CCG Esports25c142.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4950745%228 W · 279 L+1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Conviction68c133$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.561392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick56cpaid+73.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked Conviction75c131.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8511659.5%69 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Conviction68c130$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0628250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0664…f7f0backed Conviction68c129.06$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.33943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed CCG Esports28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed CCG Esports34c117.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.099436.2%34 W · 60 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6564…47cebacked Conviction70c115.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.035641.1%23 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed CCG Esports34c109.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.311253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed CCG Esports33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3592342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Conviction77c105.69$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3614052.1%73 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc45…7f69backed CCG Esports20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207518.7%14 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b6…9588backed Conviction73c98.26$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2931155.9%174 W · 137 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5a…0088backed Conviction76c95.31$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8849361.5%303 W · 190 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Conviction76c91.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0446154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed CCG Esports25c80.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1530543%131 W · 174 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed CCG Esports30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.361,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked CCG Esports26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020739.1%81 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Conviction70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4351454.5%280 W · 234 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed CCG Esports24c70.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked CCG Esports30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c5a…f9cfbacked Conviction77c65.9$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0513161.8%81 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Conviction76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.