Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f7f529de68d94c6b3e0c7e6860d1eb611143cc5d114c28777b36ca334147687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Conviction, CCG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x761a…d9babacked CCG Esports | 5c | 2,070$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked CCG Esports | 5c | 1,892$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed CCG Esports | 19c | 1,512$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.83 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked CCG Esports | 18c | 1,112$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 915 | 37.5%343 W · 572 L | -19.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked CCG Esports | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 490 | 47.6%233 W · 257 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CCG Esports | 19c | 884.62$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 1,116 | 47.8%534 W · 582 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed CCG Esports | 10c | 826.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed CCG Esports | 2c | 748.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Conviction | 77c | 613.75$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked CCG Esports | 26c | 549.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Conviction | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 282 | 66%186 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18c…6205backed CCG Esports | 22c | 484$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked CCG Esports | 23c | 474.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.36 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Conviction | 78c | 468.92$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed CCG Esports | 14c | 458.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 1,074 | 23.6%253 W · 821 L | -77.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Conviction | 74c | 401.53$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…0bffbacked CCG Esports | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 225 | 32.4%73 W · 152 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…5054backed CCG Esports | 4c | 396.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed CCG Esports | 15c | 384.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked CCG Esports | 18c | 350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Conviction | 76c | 318.07$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…5ea3backed CCG Esports | 4c | 314.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed CCG Esports | 7c | 312.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 1,877 | 39.9%749 W · 1,128 L | -66.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CCG Esports | 18c | 311$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 3,182 | 33.9%1,079 W · 2,103 L | -151.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed CCG Esports | 19c | 310.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 247 | 43.3%107 W · 140 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked CCG Esports | 16c | 285.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 238 | 29.8%71 W · 167 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked CCG Esports | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked Conviction | 76c | 275$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed CCG Esports | 27c | 255.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 86 | 18.6%16 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Conviction | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed CCG Esports | 22c | 240$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed CCG Esports | 18c | 229.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 1,640 | 43.8%719 W · 921 L | -75.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed CCG Esports | 8c | 212.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed CCG Esports | 25c | 209.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed CCG Esports | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked Conviction | 74c | 201.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f3…bc1abacked Conviction | 75c | 176.32$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CCG Esports | 18c | 150.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1,954 | 42.4%829 W · 1,125 L | -43.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed CCG Esports | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 762 | 29%221 W · 541 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed CCG Esports | 8c | 148.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed CCG Esports | 21c | 143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed CCG Esports | 16c | 140.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed CCG Esports | 8c | 125.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 518 | 47.1%244 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Conviction | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,007 | 45.4%457 W · 550 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9843…266fbacked Conviction | 80c | 123.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed Conviction | 79c | 121.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Conviction | 78c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1,264 | 39.8%503 W · 761 L | -70.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked CCG Esports | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487d…86cbbacked CCG Esports | 15c | 103.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked CCG Esports | 18c | 102.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Conviction | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked CCG Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed CCG Esports | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…f47bbacked CCG Esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CCG Esports | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,839 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,664 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed CCG Esports | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked CCG Esports | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked CCG Esports | 21c | 97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…97fcbacked CCG Esports | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Conviction | 75c | 76.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed CCG Esports | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction | 77c | 49.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked CCG Esports | 22c | 49.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Conviction | 80c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…0a62backed Conviction | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed CCG Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 467 | 41.3%193 W · 274 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked CCG Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed CCG Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 351 | 60.7%213 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Conviction | 80c | 38.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 794 | 51.8%411 W · 383 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Conviction | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Conviction | 76c | 27.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 453 | 44.4%201 W · 252 L | -30.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Conviction | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 269 | 56.5%152 W · 117 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…66d7backed Conviction | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Conviction | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Conviction | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Conviction | 75c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)Conviction won
- Game Handicap: CNV (-2.5) vs CCG Esports (+2.5)Conviction won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 3 WinnerConviction won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.