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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Convictionof Conviction, CCG Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,088 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x761a…d9babacked CCG Esports5c2,070$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3313550.4%68 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked CCG Esports5c1,892$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2542540.7%173 W · 252 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdcb…36c9backed CCG Esports19c1,512$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.832236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+119.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked CCG Esports18c1,112$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20091537.5%343 W · 572 L-19.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked CCG Esports24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24049047.6%233 W · 257 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked CCG Esports19c884.62$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.61,11647.8%534 W · 582 L+2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed CCG Esports10c826.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.75740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed CCG Esports2c748.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.741612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-81.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Conviction77c613.75$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6167931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked CCG Esports26c549.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1433713.5%5 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed Conviction80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10028266%186 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd18c…6205backed CCG Esports22c484$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.87333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+122.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked CCG Esports23c474.87$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3622748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Conviction78c468.92$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9728250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed CCG Esports14c458.21$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.361,07423.6%253 W · 821 L-77.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Conviction74c401.53$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.411943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…0bffbacked CCG Esports10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022532.4%73 W · 152 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59fc…5054backed CCG Esports4c396.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed CCG Esports15c384.63$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3257349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked CCG Esports18c350$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6323831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Conviction76c318.07$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.785046%23 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+76%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed CCG Esports4c314.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed CCG Esports7c312.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.821,87739.9%749 W · 1,128 L-66.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed CCG Esports18c311$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.253,18233.9%1,079 W · 2,103 L-151.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed CCG Esports19c310.96$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0824743.3%107 W · 140 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked CCG Esports16c285.18$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5923829.8%71 W · 167 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked CCG Esports18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…bddfbacked Conviction76c275$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662050%10 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed CCG Esports27c255.42$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.038618.6%16 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Conviction79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1610256.9%58 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed CCG Esports22c240$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.874637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed CCG Esports18c229.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.381,64043.8%719 W · 921 L-75.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed CCG Esports8c212.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.65825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbecc…5672backed CCG Esports25c209.32$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524934.7%17 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed CCG Esports22c204.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4519232.8%63 W · 129 L-17.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked Conviction74c201.6$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.628261%172 W · 110 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f3…bc1abacked Conviction75c176.32$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked CCG Esports18c150.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.681,95442.4%829 W · 1,125 L-43.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed CCG Esports21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.576229%221 W · 541 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed CCG Esports8c148.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed CCG Esports21c143$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.039844.9%44 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed CCG Esports16c140.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed CCG Esports8c125.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051847.1%244 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Conviction76c125$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,00745.4%457 W · 550 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9843…266fbacked Conviction80c123.08$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.621855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed Conviction79c121.1$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.437847.4%37 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Conviction78c110$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.531,26439.8%503 W · 761 L-70.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked CCG Esports11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220739.1%81 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x487d…86cbbacked CCG Esports15c103.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…b3debacked CCG Esports18c102.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.465234.6%18 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Conviction74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3523880.3%191 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked CCG Esports20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed CCG Esports26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2630231.1%94 W · 208 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fab…f47bbacked CCG Esports22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked CCG Esports24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,83941.4%1,175 W · 1,664 L-14.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed CCG Esports23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234146.3%19 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8edb…d34dbacked CCG Esports22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-11.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked CCG Esports21c97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8135341.9%148 W · 205 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5305…97fcbacked CCG Esports21c90.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Conviction75c76.22$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1414545.5%66 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed CCG Esports22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.514148.2%68 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction77c49.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked CCG Esports22c49.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8511637.1%43 W · 73 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Conviction80c48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x709d…0a62backed Conviction74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5426052.7%137 W · 123 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed CCG Esports25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046741.3%193 W · 274 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked CCG Esports25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1049451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed CCG Esports25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1035160.7%213 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Conviction80c38.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8879451.8%411 W · 383 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Conviction78c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Conviction76c27.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.645344.4%201 W · 252 L-30.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Conviction78c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9926956.5%152 W · 117 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf71…66d7backed Conviction80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Conviction79c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1210751.4%55 W · 52 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Conviction76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Conviction75c16.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0516851.2%86 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.