NFL · resolved market

Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafc9d6a89ae4985a926356992b2cf5193ad99d22b5de9030d98273a2433fb62b

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,108 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over	46c	11,503$5,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,212.68	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under	54c	8,992$4,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,855.49	312	40.7%127 W · 185 L	-22.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under	55c	3,636$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Over	46c	2,797$1,287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,510.6	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	52c	2,668$1,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,377.35	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	53c	2,345$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.81	513	52.2%268 W · 245 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	47c	2,000$937 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	46c	1,396$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$757.22	346	52.9%183 W · 163 L	+16.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over	45c	1,361$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.56	75	30.7%23 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	54c	1,264$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$682.81	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	47c	1,104$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$585.11	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over	49c	1,058$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	343	49.3%169 W · 174 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under	52c	800$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	139	59%82 W · 57 L	+12.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	48c	720.77$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.97	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	54c	643$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.22	192	40.1%77 W · 115 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Over	52c	625$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Under	54c	500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	285	56.5%161 W · 124 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	204	43.6%89 W · 115 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Over	46c	406$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.24	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Under	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over	45c	363.64$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	187	45.5%85 W · 102 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over	47c	297.87$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.87	280	47.5%133 W · 147 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Under	55c	272.73$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	164	51.2%84 W · 80 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under	53c	235.85$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Over	46c	233$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.82	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over	46c	216$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.64	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Over	46c	214$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.56	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Over	46c	211$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.94	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…6471backed Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.7wins	-0.34per pick	59cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	54c	160$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	266	49.6%132 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe64…873ebacked Under	51c	150$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Over	46c	142$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.68	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Over	46c	135$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.9	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+4.2wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Over	46c	130$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.2	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Over	46c	107$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.78	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997a…1b8fbacked Under	55c	106.71$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.69	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Over	46c	106$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.24	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Over	46c	103$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.62	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	243	52.7%128 W · 115 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	96	51%49 W · 47 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-11.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Under	54c	98$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.92	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	56cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Over	46c	93$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.22	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+22%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Over	46c	90$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.6	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under	54c	87$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.98	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over	46c	86.96$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.96	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+3.4wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fb3…05e5backed Over	47c	85.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	87	33.3%29 W · 58 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Over	46c	79$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.66	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Under	54c	76$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.04	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb4…36c3backed Over	51c	75$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.75	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Under	54c	74$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.96	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Under	54c	73$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.42	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Under	54c	72$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.88	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Over	46c	71$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.34	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Under	54c	65$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Under	54c	65$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Over	46c	63$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.02	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Under	54c	61$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.94	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa221…5b1fbacked Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Over	46c	55$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.7	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+4.0wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Under	54c	52$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.08	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Over	50c	50.2$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.1	239	37.7%90 W · 149 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Over	49c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.75	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Under	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed Under	54c	49$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.46	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Over	46c	49$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.46	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb385…c1a4backed Under	54c	48$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.92	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Under	54c	48$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.92	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.27per pick	53cpaid	+53.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Under	54c	47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.38	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Under	54c	47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.38	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x080f…c226backed Under	54c	46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	54cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Under	54c	46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.33per pick	55cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Under	54c	45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…de52backed Under	54c	45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	45c	42$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.1	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Over	46c	42$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.68	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed Under	54c	42$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.68	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Under	54c	41$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.14	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1b…854dbacked Under	54c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.38per pick	55cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Under	54c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Under	54c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf06a…cfdabacked Under	54c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under	55c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Under	54c	36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed Under	54c	36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf012…6d13backed Over	46c	34$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.36	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72df…42f6backed Under	54c	33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Under	54c	33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Over	46c	33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.82	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6393…dde9backed Under	54c	32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Under	54c	32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.39per pick	56cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f8…667fbacked Over	46c	32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.28	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a80…cbf7backed Under	54c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	48c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	127	56.7%72 W · 55 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Over	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	94	56.4%53 W · 41 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed Under	54c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under	54c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf340…6224backed Over	46c	29$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.66	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event