MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e62a2575316c0f02cc78fd1def4de01d13fde7583e131bdb496af32e54fcb14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Astros, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $388,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb06…d915backed Astros | 43c | 139,965$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 64c | 64,424$40,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,502.44 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 56c | 32,238$18,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,126.13 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 21,826$12,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,385.31 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 35c | 21,156$7,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,498.69 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Astros | 57c | 17,857$10,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,234.05 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Astros | 41c | 17,538$7,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,239.7 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 10,250$6,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.5 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 28c | 8,801$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,371.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Astros | 30c | 7,278$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.24 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 22c | 7,255$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,652.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 6,863$3,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.69 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jays | 16c | 6,588$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,565.78 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 60c | 6,087$3,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.13 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Astros | 41c | 5,011$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Blue Jays | 59c | 4,993$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.95 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 51c | 4,945$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.38 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 17c | 4,843$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.62 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Astros | 41c | 4,768$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.94 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 4,765$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 63c | 4,691$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.55 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 41c | 4,302$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.62 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Blue Jays | 59c | 3,606$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.46 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Blue Jays | 66c | 3,001$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.97 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 2,895$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.85 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 41c | 2,585$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.67 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jays | 57c | 2,320$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.6 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 47c | 2,040$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.59 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Blue Jays | 6c | 1,833$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.33 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…6e92backed Blue Jays | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,698$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.46 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,545$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.46 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,446$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.86 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,315$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.45 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Blue Jays | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Astros | 40c | 1,234$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.6 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c2…0f74backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,224$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.93 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Astros | 16c | 1,199$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Blue Jays | 35c | 1,178$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.96 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Blue Jays | 21c | 1,130$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.38 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 1,097$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.12 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531f…8b66backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,010$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…c3dabacked Astros | 41c | 1,005$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d0…2cc2backed Astros | 41c | 995$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…84d8backed Blue Jays | 59c | 990$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Blue Jays | 58c | 975$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Astros | 40c | 965$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 56c | 894.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.51 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 41c | 893.31$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.26 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jays | 40c | 889.71$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Astros | 67c | 793.47$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Astros | 40c | 708$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Blue Jays | 24c | 690$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.4 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 59c | 676.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.56 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Astros | 42c | 610.02$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.21 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 57c | 574.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.15 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Blue Jays | 32c | 572.93$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.44 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 42c | 500.18$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Astros | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Astros | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Astros | 68c | 420$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Astros | 73c | 373.88$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.04 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…3dd5backed Blue Jays | 58c | 357.1$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…9647backed Astros | 43c | 357$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Blue Jays | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Blue Jays | 68c | 320$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Blue Jays | 16c | 315.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.52 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Blue Jays | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Blue Jays | 34c | 271.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Astros | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 241.34$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Astros | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Blue Jays | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…a37ebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 41c | 207.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Blue Jays | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Blue Jays | 22c | 200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Blue Jays | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Astros | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Blue Jays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Astros | 43c | 186.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 80c | 176.76$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Blue Jays | 14c | 175$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Blue Jays | 59c | 169$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…4bd3backed Blue Jays | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Astros | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Blue Jays | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 153.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc94…86b9backed Astros | 72c | 151.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Astros | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Astros | 15c | 148.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astros vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Astros vs. Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.