College Football · resolved market
South Florida vs. Florida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb97286d8adf9a6da4f8a707b7c14a21b5bb4a79bd5fb2112ee12085e84bfdb78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Floridaof South Florida, Florida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked South Florida | 27c | 16,498$4,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,968.02 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed South Florida | 47c | 12,111$5,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,433.55 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed South Florida | 65c | 7,931$5,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.92 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Florida | 35c | 6,610$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.11 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Florida | 78c | 4,748$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.61 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed South Florida | 7c | 4,369$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.08 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Florida | 52c | 4,279$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.91 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed South Florida | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.97 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Florida | 78c | 2,429$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.3 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed South Florida | 56c | 2,421$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.35 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Florida | 34c | 1,931$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.43 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked South Florida | 27c | 1,480$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Florida | 61c | 1,444$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.12 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed South Florida | 39c | 1,364$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.13 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Florida | 61c | 1,300$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed South Florida | 10c | 1,268$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.51 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Florida | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Florida | 56c | 1,000$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.04 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed South Florida | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked South Florida | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed South Florida | 21c | 971.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed South Florida | 19c | 902.05$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.79 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked South Florida | 62c | 761.76$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.54 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…a240backed Florida | 71c | 715.21$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed South Florida | 21c | 619.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.05 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed South Florida | 13c | 600$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Florida | 6c | 562.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked South Florida | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed South Florida | 12c | 412.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.94 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9406…9071backed Florida | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Florida | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked South Florida | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked South Florida | 35c | 195.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…5641backed South Florida | 28c | 175.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Florida | 72c | 157.84$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…8743backed South Florida | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Florida | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Florida | 14c | 117$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked South Florida | 13c | 116$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed South Florida | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed South Florida | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked South Florida | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked South Florida | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked South Florida | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Florida | 52c | 58.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Florida | 33c | 49.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Florida | 41c | 38.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Florida | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b08…24a6backed Florida | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Florida vs. Floridathis page
- South Florida vs. Florida: O/U 54.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.