NFL · resolved market
Ravens vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f2e645fd40487882cc9e7a05d240f5b1c2220a361fbb345b21f921070411409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Ravens, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,651,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,793,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,651,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2c5…79a0backed Bills | 47c | 1,230,431$579,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650,928.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Bills | 48c | 505,853$242,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262,912.56 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ravens | 53c | 453,896$239,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239,993.47 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Ravens | 53c | 220,755$117,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Ravens | 53c | 146,661$77,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,730.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Ravens | 53c | 140,000$74,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,000 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Ravens | 53c | 124,000$65,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,320 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ravens | 53c | 116,260$61,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,602.97 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bills | 20c | 110,658$22,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,562.66 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Ravens | 61c | 96,424$58,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,427.16 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ravens | 29c | 81,475$23,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,737.55 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Ravens | 52c | 70,000$36,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,399.99 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Ravens | 39c | 68,546$26,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,910.23 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ravens | 53c | 56,774$30,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,058.32 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ravens | 55c | 53,022$29,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,083.55 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Ravens | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Ravens | 69c | 46,539$32,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,184.25 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Ravens | 67c | 44,077$29,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,749.86 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddd…9407backed Bills | 38c | 43,187$16,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,640.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bills | 47c | 42,100$19,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,312.99 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Ravens | 52c | 38,451$19,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,994.63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Ravens | 35c | 37,612$13,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,327.28 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Bills | 48c | 36,953$17,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,106.61 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Bills | 48c | 36,085$17,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,750.48 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Ravens | 47c | 30,000$14,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,098 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ravens | 60c | 28,778$17,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,165.44 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Ravens | 52c | 27,200$14,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,103 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Ravens | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,250 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bills | 64c | 24,808$15,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,898.93 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Ravens | 53c | 21,600$11,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,448 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Ravens | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bills | 40c | 18,179$7,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,852.51 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Bills | 49c | 17,966$8,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,203.94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Ravens | 52c | 17,363$9,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,028.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Ravens | 79c | 17,129$13,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,597.47 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bills | 47c | 15,591$7,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,289.79 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea98…ce4dbacked Ravens | 52c | 13,824$7,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,188.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Bills | 34c | 11,752$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,702.78 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Ravens | 53c | 11,321$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Bills | 36c | 11,250$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,150 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bills | 12c | 11,036$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,715.44 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Ravens | 53c | 11,000$5,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,825 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ravens | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,719.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ravens | 52c | 10,800$5,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,664 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bills | 46c | 10,760$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,839.99 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Ravens | 64c | 10,660$6,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,783.18 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Ravens | 23c | 10,348$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.73 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Ravens | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…dedfbacked Bills | 49c | 9,917$4,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.62 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Ravens | 52c | 9,670$5,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Bills | 37c | 9,469$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,963.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Ravens | 77c | 9,146$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Bills | 11c | 8,388$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,465.32 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Bills | 49c | 8,182$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.97 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bills | 16c | 7,676$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,456.66 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Bills | 48c | 7,315$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.92 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Bills | 55c | 7,000$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.19 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Ravens | 53c | 6,226$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Bills | 20c | 6,083$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,858.11 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ravens | 53c | 5,688$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,014.6 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Ravens | 58c | 5,396$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.27 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bills | 48c | 5,000$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Ravens | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ravens | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.98 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Bills | 19c | 4,961$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018.37 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Ravens | 53c | 4,953$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Ravens | 51c | 4,264$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Bills | 35c | 4,205$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.77 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ravens | 66c | 4,109$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.49 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Ravens | 53c | 4,008$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Bills | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…6d7bbacked Ravens | 53c | 3,372$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Bills | 21c | 3,333$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.33 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Ravens | 57c | 3,224$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Ravens | 58c | 3,177$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.13 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…de68backed Ravens | 53c | 3,170$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bills | 6c | 3,090$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.5 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Ravens | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bills | 20c | 2,900$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.74 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Ravens | 41c | 2,805$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Ravens | 44c | 2,805$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.68 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Ravens | 53c | 2,781$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Ravens | 52c | 2,700$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Ravens | 77c | 2,585$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Bills | 12c | 2,550$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Ravens | 52c | 2,509$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.12 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Bills | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…7648backed Ravens | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Ravens | 51c | 2,374$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.16 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Ravens | 53c | 2,315$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.9 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bills | 39c | 2,312$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.6 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bills | 9c | 2,310$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.04 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Ravens | 79c | 2,271$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.51 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Bills | 36c | 2,243$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.19 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Bills | 25c | 2,200$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Ravens | 46c | 2,196$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Bills | 13c | 2,162$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…c29dbacked Bills | 18c | 2,144$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Bills | 47c | 2,030$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Ravens | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ravens vs. Billsthis page
- Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Bills (-1.5)Ravens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.