College Football · resolved market
Lane Kiffin out as Ole Miss head coach by January 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c809b6301377d3201ca34c5866e737c5e7044a2fb7b95209d3971e322a743f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 5,074$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…2597backed No | 18c | 1,300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed No | 33c | 1,243$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.54 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…ad0fbacked Yes | 76c | 603.25$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…d661backed No | 28c | 467.17$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb28…2623backed No | 16c | 321.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed No | 21c | 285.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 7c | 215.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 62c | 190.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 28c | 159.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…114cbacked No | 56c | 133.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked No | 23c | 119.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d3…b524backed Yes | 74c | 106.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d1…21c7backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 55c | 98.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b08…24a6backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 64c | 29.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…87b7backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…22f5backed Yes | 69c | 14.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.