NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Lakers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab251912d4fbbc22e4a8da3b49f9444d3db0b553d0bbf8c4673e79bcbeae2aa2

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Jazz, Lakers
Resolved: Nov 19, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,140,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,280,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,140,823 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 700 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb744…5210backed Jazz	16c	2,156,510$345,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345,034.67	154	43.5%67 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3987…259ebacked Jazz	16c	1,130,732$180,612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180,612.27	80	22.5%18 W · 62 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Jazz	16c	82,496$13,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,074.44	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf6…22a9backed Jazz	24c	45,000$10,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,826.2	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	26cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Jazz	28c	27,909$7,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,838.12	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Jazz	2c	26,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	200	34%68 W · 132 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Jazz	16c	25,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Lakers	71c	23,452$16,651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,801.21	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Jazz	16c	20,889$3,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,313.47	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	25cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Jazz	16c	20,000$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,099.94	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	22c	19,675$4,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,409.06	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Lakers	74c	18,530$13,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,805.84	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c7…3133backed Jazz	16c	15,683$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jazz	6c	14,860$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.4	346	45.4%157 W · 189 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Jazz	23c	14,239$3,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,322.92	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Jazz	15c	12,067$1,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,810	569	45.3%258 W · 311 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Jazz	24c	11,310$2,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,750	165	32.1%53 W · 112 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz	15c	11,029$1,694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693.75	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz	25c	10,961$2,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,792.54	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Lakers	78c	10,530$8,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,320.75	480	46%221 W · 259 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a0…4a02backed Jazz	30c	10,486$3,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,135.61	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf54…e5bebacked Jazz	16c	10,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.98	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	16c	7,622$1,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,245.22	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Jazz	26c	7,586$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Lakers	79c	6,800$5,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,397.06	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c9…2278backed Jazz	21c	6,684$1,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,431.57	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jazz	23c	6,596$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,540.27	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz	24c	6,585$1,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,597.5	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b50…e262backed Lakers	72c	6,476$4,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,813.54	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	69cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jazz	16c	6,470$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012.54	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd8…6203backed Jazz	16c	6,425$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.99	86	50%43 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz	15c	6,400$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…51e3backed Jazz	16c	6,300$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Lakers	64c	6,000$3,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Jazz	15c	5,943$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902.28	356	51.1%182 W · 174 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Jazz	17c	5,934$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Jazz	31c	5,894$1,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,826.99	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe612…abc9backed Jazz	25c	5,439$1,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,353.66	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz	18c	5,276$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.28	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz	14c	5,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.98	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz	15c	4,667$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.14	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f7…dc01backed Jazz	16c	4,563$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Jazz	26c	4,503$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,159.57	667	44.5%297 W · 370 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz	15c	4,404$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.53	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Jazz	17c	4,300$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf65…127cbacked Jazz	24c	4,180$1,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-71%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz	2c	4,068$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.87	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5167…ccefbacked Jazz	16c	3,956$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Jazz	28c	3,888$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.63	231	35.1%81 W · 150 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lakers	75c	3,853$2,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945.54	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf36c…440abacked Lakers	79c	3,800$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	33cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Jazz	26c	3,783$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	141	56%79 W · 62 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf97a…30b7backed Jazz	6c	3,782$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.24	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d1…b400backed Lakers	79c	3,753$2,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788.16	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jazz	17c	3,726$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.59	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Jazz	15c	3,637$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.99	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz	6c	3,616$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.44	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Jazz	17c	3,566$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	152	28.3%43 W · 109 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Jazz	24c	3,500$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	123	34.1%42 W · 81 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Jazz	15c	3,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.99	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Lakers	77c	3,300$2,538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf368…6499backed Lakers	76c	3,291$2,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.95	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Jazz	16c	3,250$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Jazz	15c	3,230$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.5	167	30.5%51 W · 116 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz	21c	3,166$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.5	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68ac…74cbbacked Jazz	27c	3,125$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.59	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Lakers	72c	3,104$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854.7	487	39.8%194 W · 293 L	-21.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked Lakers	78c	3,090$2,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.89	187	64.7%121 W · 66 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Lakers	75c	3,059$2,302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$757.65	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Jazz	16c	3,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	167	50.9%85 W · 82 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…bdb8backed Jazz	15c	3,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Lakers	75c	2,989$2,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$747.18	104	57.7%60 W · 44 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Jazz	27c	2,919$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Lakers	74c	2,916$2,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.07	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98c4…f3e2backed Jazz	16c	2,906$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Jazz	15c	2,786$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.89	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbff1…d32bbacked Lakers	74c	2,729$2,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.66	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Lakers	69c	2,587$1,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.87	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-6.1wins	-0.26per pick	57cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Lakers	80c	2,526$2,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.82	271	52%141 W · 130 L	-17.9wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82ba…9fbbbacked Lakers	68c	2,431$1,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.39	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d5…5ae1backed Lakers	69c	2,415$1,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	24cpaid	+572.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6859…3308backed Jazz	16c	2,362$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.11	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+4.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d60…649fbacked Jazz	17c	2,353$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz	7c	2,344$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.97	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Jazz	14c	2,315$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.45	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz	14c	2,302$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.57	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x640e…f2d4backed Jazz	21c	2,300$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf9e…239fbacked Lakers	75c	2,300$1,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.99	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Lakers	69c	2,172$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.81	154	61.7%95 W · 59 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23d1…d15ebacked Jazz	16c	2,166$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80a9…ad8bbacked Lakers	69c	2,098$1,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.31	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Jazz	15c	2,072$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.77	278	40.6%113 W · 165 L	-22.5wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Jazz	18c	2,038$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.26	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Jazz	16c	2,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	432	47.5%205 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc60…ffaabacked Jazz	25c	2,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b40…d85ebacked Jazz	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8c2…39edbacked Jazz	14c	2,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.99	106	35.8%38 W · 68 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Jazz	34c	1,953$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.93	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Jazz	22c	1,915$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Lakers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event