NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x728aefd8aa695f43fdd8338a69e04b7f9137075876516d33d1b9edce99b5220c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.97 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 39c | 527.09$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 467$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 39c | 466.52$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dd…45d3backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 38c | 337.84$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 262.03$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Over | 56c | 225.86$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 58c | 184.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 45c | 176.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…4763backed Over | 58c | 170.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…1b52backed Over | 58c | 169.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Over | 60c | 168$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebac…be55backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Over | 63c | 159.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Over | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…8abbbacked Over | 56c | 119.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…1d3bbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -12.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Over | 58c | 91.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…6786backed Over | 61c | 87.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 42c | 84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 62c | 62.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Over | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2921…78b3backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Over | 62c | 46.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 45c | 43.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over | 58c | 40.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…7c63backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…4d91backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 76c | 35.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb52…8046backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…0588backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…f199backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. LakersLakers won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.