NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-12.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed4ae3aeb0894f5b6a598417133c3a69a00d20ba3ce40e855f664d1b312bbca9

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Lakers, Jazz
Resolved: Nov 19, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $120,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $129,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,096 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Lakers	50c	30,000$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,000	382	48.7%186 W · 196 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz	50c	27,967$13,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,983.42	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jazz	48c	17,795$8,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,531.07	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Lakers	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	52	50%26 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Lakers	53c	8,764$4,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,119.08	175	51.4%90 W · 85 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Jazz	1c	8,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	298	10.4%31 W · 267 L	+22.5wins	+0.08per pick	3cpaid	+230.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jazz	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	346	45.4%157 W · 189 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Lakers	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,399.98	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Jazz	48c	4,990$2,395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,395.37	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,919.98	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	48c	3,416$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632.44	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	59c	3,281$1,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,948.2	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Lakers	52c	3,043$1,581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,462.48	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Lakers	52c	2,885$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,384.62	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Jazz	2c	2,827$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.54	390	18.2%71 W · 319 L	+27.6wins	+0.07per pick	11cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Lakers	50c	2,819$1,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,409.4	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers	32c	2,765$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,893.18	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Jazz	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Lakers	53c	2,500$1,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,175	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz	53c	2,069$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.95	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz	75c	1,794$1,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,345.13	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jazz	49c	1,532$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.14	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Lakers	22c	1,052$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.64	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb433…7705backed Jazz	48c	1,040$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+3.6wins	+0.12per pick	25cpaid	+25%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz	47c	1,036$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.83	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Lakers	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jazz	47c	786$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.42	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Jazz	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	656	49.2%323 W · 333 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…3308backed Jazz	51c	588.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+4.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Jazz	51c	490.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	369	43.4%160 W · 209 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Lakers	52c	425$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a47…3864backed Lakers	49c	399.99$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.99	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Lakers	52c	385.19$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.89	271	61.3%166 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers	52c	382$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.36	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06b7…5479backed Lakers	53c	367.94$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.93	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+4.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Lakers	46c	323.94$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.43	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1377…56aebacked Jazz	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.95	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3e…1726backed Lakers	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a83…09f0backed Lakers	39c	300$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Lakers	48c	296.75$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.75	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-21%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fab…ba37backed Lakers	51c	293.47$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.8	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Lakers	52c	286.54$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.54	75	37.3%28 W · 47 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53d7…0b48backed Jazz	50c	283.93$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.61	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…c6d8backed Lakers	51c	274.51$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.51	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x792f…cb67backed Lakers	51c	274.51$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.51	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46c8…6239backed Lakers	51c	274.51$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.51	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d17…bc4cbacked Lakers	51c	274.51$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.51	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers	44c	272.55$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.31	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a4…d70cbacked Jazz	48c	260.42$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Jazz	29c	244$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.93	353	52.4%185 W · 168 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Lakers	50c	240$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-7.0wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8625…9a90backed Jazz	51c	215$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.65	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+33%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Jazz	49c	210$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.9	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Jazz	49c	203.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	361	43.5%157 W · 204 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe363…6786backed Jazz	50c	200.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	701	53.5%375 W · 326 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48f8…9166backed Lakers	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	171	45.6%78 W · 93 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Lakers	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	261	50.2%131 W · 130 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf406…c9bfbacked Jazz	75c	200$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x25c3…1b52backed Jazz	51c	197.39$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.67	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3dd…45d3backed Jazz	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e2d…74ccbacked Jazz	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Jazz	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Jazz	52c	191.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	49.1%110 W · 114 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Lakers	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	235	53.6%126 W · 109 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Jazz	59c	186.74$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.94	185	54.1%100 W · 85 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb079…5feabacked Jazz	51c	185$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x637b…5c6bbacked Jazz	49c	179.41$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.91	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c6…830cbacked Jazz	57c	172.95$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.2	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Lakers	52c	163.46$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.46	140	54.3%76 W · 64 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Lakers	41c	150.71$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.35	378	50.3%190 W · 188 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Lakers	48c	150$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	377	50.4%190 W · 187 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz	49c	141.88$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.57	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Jazz	51c	130$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.3	378	48.9%185 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aed…eb43backed Lakers	52c	128.85$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.85	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Lakers	47c	120$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.6	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Lakers	52c	114.13$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.28	304	54.9%167 W · 137 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9c6…72a8backed Lakers	53c	113.21$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.21	92	43.5%40 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe11d…60e5backed Lakers	30c	108.57$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+140.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lakers	50c	104.22$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.03	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Jazz	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	346	45.7%158 W · 188 L	+12.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7283…f4abbacked Lakers	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a50…c1e5backed Jazz	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Jazz	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	514	51.9%267 W · 247 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…24f4backed Lakers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	61	62.3%38 W · 23 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Lakers	50c	99.8$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.9	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf139…1d3bbacked Jazz	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ae…32c2backed Lakers	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Lakers	50c	96$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Lakers	50c	90$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.8	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed Lakers	50c	88$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Lakers	52c	86.85$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.69	134	56.7%76 W · 58 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab2…5735backed Lakers	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	87	41.4%36 W · 51 L	-8.4wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebac…be55backed Jazz	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	121	53.7%65 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3126…9dabbacked Jazz	79c	75.95$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-4.2wins	-0.15per pick	64cpaid	-23%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8f1…025dbacked Lakers	52c	75$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	93	51.6%48 W · 45 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers	73c	74.23$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.34	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jazz	48c	69.62$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.42	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Jazz	48c	62.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	280	58.2%163 W · 117 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Jazz	80c	61.84$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.47	160	45%72 W · 88 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Lakers (-12.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event