NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fb452ef8a50ce08d2b912c2461af2d8b6ce131b8c8d5dabe4b73fe6aee1e597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 43c | 12,444$5,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Lakers | 57c | 9,363$5,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.16 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.04 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Lakers | 57c | 1,175$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.44 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Lakers | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Lakers | 57c | 877.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.46 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…7231backed Lakers | 56c | 865.2$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Jazz | 44c | 611.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.44 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Lakers | 57c | 584.21$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.21 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Jazz | 45c | 499.97$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Jazz | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lakers | 30c | 289.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Jazz | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2d…3749backed Lakers | 36c | 255.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked Jazz | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Lakers | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 58c | 198.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…ee62backed Lakers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Lakers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Lakers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Lakers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Lakers | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Lakers | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Lakers | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed Jazz | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Jazz | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Lakers | 54c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Lakers | 55c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Lakers | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Lakers | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lakers | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 48c | 55.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Lakers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5e…271bbacked Lakers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Lakers | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Lakers | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Lakers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -12.3wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…7701backed Lakers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…4d91backed Lakers | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed Jazz | 44c | 45.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…0b48backed Jazz | 46c | 43.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Jazz | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Jazz | 41c | 38.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Lakers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Lakers | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Jazz | 44c | 29.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 50c | 26.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Jazz | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ae…5fdebacked Lakers | 55c | 24.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Lakers | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Lakers | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa98…795cbacked Lakers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. LakersLakers won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.