NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7699ea8685c999074bfa4396ece9cc91826a12482f8dabdc149a7d14eb5193f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa117…a311backed Under | 49c | 39,995$19,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,597.55 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 51c | 30,925$15,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,065.13 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Under | 48c | 26,667$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800.01 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 15,145$7,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,408.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 55c | 7,207$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 52c | 6,272$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.25 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 3,793$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.18 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 52c | 2,800$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 1,980$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 1,766$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.68 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 1,712$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.88 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 55c | 1,248$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.44 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,018$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Under | 50c | 1,002$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.76 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 875.02$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.37 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 52c | 416.67$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 390.43$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.49 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 377$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Over | 60c | 334.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.43 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…9fbbbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Under | 7c | 299.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 18.8%25 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 269.01$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…362ebacked Under | 53c | 254.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Under | 48c | 208.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 34c | 169.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 52c | 159$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 49c | 134$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Under | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -12.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 51c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…7089backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 47c | 69.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Over | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…5b88backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.3wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 50.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…d5f1backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…7c76backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Over | 52c | 49.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…8248backed Under | 52c | 40.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1c…2be4backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…17abbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…54c6backed Over | 53c | 37.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aab…f908backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9585…475cbacked Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Over | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Under | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 55c | 22.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Over | 52c | 22.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…46a1backed Over | 52c | 22.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…3a67backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6741…ba00backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Jazz won
- Jazz vs. LakersLakers won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-11.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-13.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.