TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Lakers, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,534,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,597,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,534,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 648 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33f6…e0debacked Suns58c490,214$286,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203,964.923033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Lakers42c392,739$164,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164,851.2587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Lakers41c125,555$51,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,477.5572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Lakers36c95,362$34,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,182.9351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Suns59c50,020$29,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,508.1923245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Lakers41c50,015$20,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,506.320551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Lakers33c49,887$16,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,462.8120055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Suns66c40,000$26,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,60038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns71c37,011$26,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,658.695,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns58c29,127$16,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,167.8296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Lakers35c28,755$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Lakers41c25,320$10,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,381.371,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Suns59c24,398$14,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,107.961,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns64c21,271$13,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,665.714,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0305…093abacked Lakers17c15,777$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.6450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+60.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Lakers41c15,000$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,15035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Lakers10c12,727$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.979849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Suns54c12,638$6,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,808.8444337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Suns66c12,391$8,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.7248944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns68c12,246$8,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,942.284,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Suns58c12,148$7,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,10259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns65c11,960$7,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,188.63,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns62c11,668$7,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,476.811,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Suns66c10,735$7,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,648.9830947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Lakers34c10,450$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6005337.7%20 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Lakers1c10,432$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9327917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Suns65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5009451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Lakers41c9,950$4,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.517348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Suns60c9,466$5,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,786.5722542.2%95 W · 130 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Suns79c9,421$7,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.1144654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Suns59c9,342$5,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,786.6717441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Lakers1c8,052$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2164517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Lakers0c7,332$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.62224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Lakers2c6,176$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8267911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers0c6,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Suns66c6,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04014356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Lakers32c6,000$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.2462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns67c5,985$3,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.0589050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns63c5,950$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.079,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Suns63c5,910$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.791,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Lakers40c5,889$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.612,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Lakers37c5,826$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.563154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Lakers32c5,555$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.636741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers1c5,537$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.155213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Suns66c5,444$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.8935651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Suns67c5,376$3,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.6522449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee77…37a7backed Suns65c5,310$3,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,858.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f2…9af1backed Lakers35c5,300$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b40…d85ebacked Suns77c5,100$3,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.995832.8%19 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Suns50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Lakers41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05012147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b0…7171backed Suns66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.971758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Suns62c4,854$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.5218553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Suns59c4,653$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.548846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Lakers39c4,604$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.9636950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Lakers22c4,520$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.361,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Lakers46c4,359$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Lakers23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Suns52c4,222$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.5539349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Lakers0c4,099$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.591,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…d3bcbacked Suns66c4,079$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.7622637.2%84 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers34c4,050$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3771,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Suns70c3,839$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.2671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers40c3,797$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.6987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Lakers33c3,788$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Suns64c3,780$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.8662351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Lakers1c3,574$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.988783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Suns60c3,500$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4009855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns62c3,196$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.426,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Lakers31c3,147$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98020434.8%71 W · 133 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3657…6cd3backed Lakers33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9909256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Suns68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Suns67c2,970$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.155971.2%42 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed Suns58c2,773$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.233565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Lakers37c2,714$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.5221538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers40c2,695$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.861,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers39c2,675$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.611,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Lakers37c2,600$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.0722051.8%114 W · 106 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Suns58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0501,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25a1…67b0backed Suns60c2,495$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.993756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Suns61c2,474$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.782763%17 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25e1…1046backed Lakers21c2,457$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5164050%20 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Suns66c2,424$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.2413063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc9…9015backed Lakers33c2,400$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Suns62c2,400$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9151,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Lakers39c2,215$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.2444459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc120…7935backed Lakers43c2,186$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9404533.3%15 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef5…ae68backed Lakers45c2,171$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+100.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Lakers23c2,129$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50062546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Lakers34c2,123$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.8274748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Suns66c2,122$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.4435450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Suns67c2,107$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.9727758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7c…f491backed Lakers34c2,100$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7141136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Suns63c2,090$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.848957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Suns58c2,049$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.5812843.8%56 W · 72 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Lakers1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Suns63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74019441.2%80 W · 114 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns63c1,995$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.234,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Suns74c1,887$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.5315274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xae9e…bd66backed Lakers2c1,850$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45110%0 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.