NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8857148cf5e1ddddf29ac92f21eb8660b5a8b6c5d064df1dc91e5284dae1ce51

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 24, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $90,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $90,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,142 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	52c	61,255$31,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,616.64	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	45,454$21,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,466.09	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	52c	20,000$10,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,399.96	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7439…fecabacked Over	48c	10,417$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,416.67	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4974…419bbacked Over	48c	5,500$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,860	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	49c	2,971$1,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,515.42	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	48c	1,999$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.54	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	48c	1,700$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$884.04	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	48c	1,700$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$884.03	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over	48c	1,526$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$793.53	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	48c	1,005$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.6	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	446	54.3%242 W · 204 L	+21.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	48c	820$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.4	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over	48c	600$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Over	48c	480$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.6	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under	54c	400$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	49c	387$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.61	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under	52c	307.69$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	48c	231.17$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.22	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	126	50%63 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over	48c	207.2$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.16	189	54.5%103 W · 86 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Over	52c	194.13$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.18	271	61.3%166 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d6…d445backed Under	52c	134.62$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70af…bcf2backed Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over	48c	60.86$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.65	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	-12.7wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Over	50c	57.9$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.95	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over	49c	46.83$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.84	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	49c	40.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.68	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	49c	27$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.77	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Over	48c	24$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.48	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-21.7wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd1c2…e8a3backed Over	49c	20.43$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.42	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event