NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c06e8e5ff63dcbe188cf060df7e7e33ead8f2d97fb2603b12703bf8013f269c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lakers | 48c | 8,818$4,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.7 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Lakers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Suns | 52c | 4,770$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.87 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 58c | 4,725$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 45c | 3,169$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Suns | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Suns | 52c | 1,708$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.69 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Suns | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 48c | 1,265$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.93 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Lakers | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 47c | 905.66$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Lakers | 53c | 905.66$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Suns | 49c | 799.94$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.97 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Lakers | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 52c | 523.94$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Lakers | 49c | 432.76$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 52c | 410.2$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 53c | 368.32$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.11 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Lakers | 48c | 326.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.92 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Suns | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Suns | 52c | 269.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 50c | 222.41$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 53c | 221.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Suns | 51c | 211.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 47c | 201.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Lakers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Suns | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Suns | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Suns | 50c | 189$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Suns | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Lakers | 54c | 176.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Suns | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Suns | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…93cebacked Suns | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Lakers | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 51c | 113.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Suns | 52c | 111$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a9…676ebacked Suns | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Lakers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…da41backed Lakers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Suns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Suns | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…027cbacked Lakers | 59c | 84.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns | 51c | 64.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Suns | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Suns | 53c | 55.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…fe4dbacked Lakers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Lakers | 49c | 50.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Suns | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Suns | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Lakers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Suns | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4de3backed Suns | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Suns | 52c | 38.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 48c | 37.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Lakers | 53c | 37.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Suns | 50c | 35.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Lakers | 48c | 33.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Lakers | 50c | 31.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…404cbacked Lakers | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Suns | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Suns | 54c | 22.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Lakers vs. SunsSuns won
- Lakers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Lakers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.