NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dcfce11334ceb730b73246d288ba329474634ab21a669c15db8317caf1d8d57

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 24, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,136 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under	46c	1,969$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.67	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98a9…676ebacked Under	45c	1,800$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810	22	50%11 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafd1…da41backed Over	55c	1,800$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb853…b6dfbacked Over	53c	1,203$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.6	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Over	56c	800$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under	43c	197$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.71	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7214…7c59backed Over	55c	127$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.15	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.21per pick	57cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under	44c	108$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.52	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under	44c	102$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.88	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under	43c	70.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.18	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under	43c	70$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under	44c	67$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.48	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d10…fc1abacked Under	45c	66$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x152c…3b50backed Over	56c	62$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.03	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9273…4d96backed Under	45c	60.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under	43c	60$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Under	44c	57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.08	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	45c	48$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	42c	47.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Over	56c	46$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.24	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Over	56c	45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Under	47c	42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Over	57c	35$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.05	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Over	57c	35$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.05	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over	56c	33$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.52	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+5.0wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+31%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over	57c	32$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.76	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca65…6746backed Over	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Over	57c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.9	51	64.7%33 W · 18 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over	57c	28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.04	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49b6…6fd5backed Over	57c	26.32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.32	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Over	57c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.18	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	44c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e9…6613backed Over	56c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Over	57c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.75	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+4.9wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Under	43c	24$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Over	57c	22$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.46	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Over	56c	22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.68	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ec…06aabacked Over	53c	19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.93	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a4…581ebacked Over	56c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.36	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event