TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,230 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Over61c2,118$1,285 inWon+$833.183,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under45c1,818$818 inLost-$818.182,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c1,159$497 inLost-$497.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Over57c877.19$500 inWon+$377.1921852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c610$342 inWon+$268.058,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e27…3cccbacked Under45c595$268 inLost-$267.752356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under38c453.62$172 inLost-$172.381,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under5c300$15 inLost-$151,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under39c255.59$101 inLost-$100.634,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over57c200$114 inWon+$8665855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over61c163.07$100 inWon+$63.0713354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under43c139.47$60 inLost-$59.971,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over57c139.47$79 inWon+$59.972,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under45c70$32 inLost-$31.521056.2%118 W · 92 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under39c45.99$18 inLost-$17.941,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost-$202,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c42.79$22 inLost-$21.74,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…5c69backed Over49c41$20 inWon+$20.9114137.6%53 W · 88 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Under44c40$18 inLost-$17.63458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under39c36.34$14 inLost-$14.272,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c34.48$14 inLost-$14.485,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon+$14.4819150.3%96 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc4…b756backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon+$14.486839.7%27 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f20…eaf6backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon+$14.488543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Under45c31$14 inLost-$13.955253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd2…2b28backed Over57c30$17 inWon+$12.94656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under39c28.28$11 inLost-$11.161,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed Over61c27.71$17 inWon+$10.711266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ee…f2d4backed Over56c20$11 inWon+$8.82147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Over56c20$11 inWon+$8.83951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.