NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5575ab8d8ab1f47e09810b2fea375d89c2d9d1215d786f0c80e8f9b99d75fabb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Lakers | 52c | 46,314$24,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,083.35 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Suns | 48c | 12,300$5,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,408.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 52c | 11,079$5,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,761.15 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0773…2cdabacked Suns | 48c | 10,425$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,420.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…6f8ebacked Suns | 48c | 10,425$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,420.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e0…778abacked Suns | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f96…f4f8backed Suns | 48c | 5,815$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa284…11a0backed Suns | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Suns | 41c | 2,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.58 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 58c | 1,916$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Suns | 48c | 1,773$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.96 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 45c | 1,708$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Lakers | 58c | 1,663$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.57 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Lakers | 53c | 1,309$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.71 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Suns | 48c | 1,249$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Suns | 48c | 1,243$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.36 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…d53cbacked Suns | 42c | 1,192$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Suns | 47c | 1,080$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.4 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Lakers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Lakers | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Lakers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Suns | 46c | 899.99$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Lakers | 53c | 774.6$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.54 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Lakers | 61c | 737.7$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 47c | 638$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.14 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Lakers | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns | 51c | 595.06$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.58 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Suns | 48c | 517.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.28 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Suns | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 47c | 218$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Lakers | 60c | 216.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Lakers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Suns | 43c | 187.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 47c | 164$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…6797backed Lakers | 61c | 162.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…4ed3backed Suns | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Suns | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Suns | 46c | 117.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Suns | 47c | 114.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Suns | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…5e0abacked Suns | 48c | 97.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Lakers | 48c | 80.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Lakers | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Suns | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Lakers | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Suns | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Lakers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Suns | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked Lakers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Suns | 47c | 30.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed Suns | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Suns | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Suns | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Lakers | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Lakers | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Lakers vs. SunsSuns won
- Lakers vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Lakers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-5.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.