Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27fa3741337f72bb571945794b5e0a2326d8830d324a3608a0cb994005f9f0ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,717,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,678,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,717,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 725 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 22c | 80,185$17,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,963.31 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c7…e210backed No | 6c | 40,795$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed No | 33c | 38,175$12,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,483.68 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 38c | 33,384$12,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,663.78 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 10c | 27,841$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.53 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cb…ec13backed Yes | 65c | 25,479$16,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,814.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 22c | 25,281$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,632.89 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 7c | 25,270$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.48 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 37c | 24,907$9,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,112.89 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0485…4b40backed No | 58c | 23,323$13,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,590.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…bbcdbacked No | 2c | 18,551$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.19 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b6…6457backed Yes | 57c | 17,533$9,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,552.07 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 79c | 16,563$13,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.04 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a2…b60dbacked No | 27c | 15,885$4,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,281.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 25c | 15,008$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bd…2ac5backed No | 7c | 14,463$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f6…7b19backed Yes | 70c | 14,172$9,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,237.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 53c | 13,741$7,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,334.05 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 19c | 13,384$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.32 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 36c | 13,270$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,540.24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…fb21backed No | 2c | 12,252$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 4c | 12,100$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.2 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d1fdbacked Yes | 69c | 12,040$8,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 41c | 11,000$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,556.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…f67bbacked Yes | 59c | 10,721$6,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed No | 7c | 10,404$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.39 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked Yes | 62c | 10,327$6,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 37c | 10,087$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,379.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 21c | 10,000$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 9,941$6,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.07 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 4c | 9,131$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.53 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 10c | 8,996$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.07 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212c…8e4abacked No | 5c | 8,428$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3374…5f24backed No | 5c | 8,009$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…bbc7backed No | 43c | 7,813$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 5c | 7,387$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.59 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e3…4603backed No | 26c | 7,330$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6233…cefdbacked Yes | 73c | 7,323$5,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 6c | 7,282$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.52 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 35c | 7,252$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.01 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 3c | 7,172$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 39c | 7,095$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.12 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…1ba3backed No | 3c | 6,951$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…0476backed No | 7c | 6,929$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…203cbacked No | 8c | 6,338$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 62c | 6,179$3,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.62 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…f3cabacked No | 8c | 6,150$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.53 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 74c | 6,095$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.3 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 28c | 6,088$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1f…8643backed No | 5c | 6,001$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…97bfbacked Yes | 38c | 5,814$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 69c | 5,790$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.81 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…cc4fbacked No | 34c | 5,736$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ada…861abacked Yes | 63c | 5,724$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 50c | 5,671$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…aecebacked Yes | 61c | 5,654$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…f848backed Yes | 68c | 5,426$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed No | 5c | 5,379$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 38c | 5,360$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.39 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 57c | 5,171$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.72 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 26c | 5,126$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 12c | 5,099$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…7b99backed Yes | 70c | 5,029$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…01cfbacked No | 6c | 5,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 29c | 5,000$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 33c | 5,000$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked No | 3c | 4,990$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 56c | 4,953$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.78 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked No | 16c | 4,932$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 32c | 4,902$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.26 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed No | 21c | 4,871$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Yes | 69c | 4,868$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 15c | 4,650$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.72 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…c665backed No | 8c | 4,600$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…5187backed No | 1c | 4,479$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 7c | 4,404$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…9362backed No | 7c | 4,302$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 69c | 4,300$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +140%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe92…d51abacked No | 48c | 4,173$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 64c | 4,173$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.12 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb044…87adbacked No | 5c | 4,104$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 47c | 4,100$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d34…aee7backed No | 4c | 4,086$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Yes | 66c | 4,062$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.79 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ed…a61cbacked No | 4c | 4,058$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 54c | 3,999$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.04 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892e…4e89backed No | 13c | 3,894$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 65c | 3,868$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.8 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 31c | 3,807$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.67 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 80c | 3,698$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9a…471fbacked No | 3c | 3,613$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 3,578$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…819ebacked Yes | 58c | 3,577$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 56c | 3,561$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 8c | 3,400$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 75c | 3,398$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.22 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…7d40backed No | 33c | 3,341$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 23c | 3,339$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.28 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 27c | 3,322$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.44 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 24c | 3,286$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.95 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.