Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0f64b6b4bd3f7a5991d887d23b2ef50cd274b7579d13df2262aca38571d565b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 7c | 4,745$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.52 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 2c | 3,307$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 3,218$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 14c | 3,138$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.68 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…4d6fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,024$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked Yes | 12c | 766.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 24c | 610.23$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 607.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…0646backed Yes | 15c | 534.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 2c | 499.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 16c | 454.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 396.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 378.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…a73ebacked Yes | 8c | 374$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 7c | 373.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 22c | 370$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…f30dbacked Yes | 10c | 369.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 80c | 360$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 349$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63de…a49bbacked Yes | 9c | 272.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed No | 70c | 251.61$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 239$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…198cbacked Yes | 11c | 237.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed Yes | 12c | 223.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 10c | 207.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed Yes | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 7c | 190.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…bf81backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…6ba8backed Yes | 16c | 180.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…ff0dbacked Yes | 25c | 168.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 8c | 160.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 78c | 152.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 11c | 118.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Yes | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc5…2276backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef42…c078backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9613…7528backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a2…9a1fbacked Yes | 26c | 82.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…a7b2backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 15c | 69.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…e956backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…cf3fbacked No | 66c | 38.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e6…1d2bbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.