Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0aa96f0d37f451e43a330c5a540b08eb36bd6025566fe565ec0d020acf0af2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 4,915$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.62 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…f848backed Yes | 39c | 1,631$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 4c | 1,392$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 6c | 1,131$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 6c | 999.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 924.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 23c | 801.25$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.09 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x129d…7d2dbacked Yes | 24c | 700$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 64c | 636.71$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 74c | 618.66$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01b…9670backed Yes | 33c | 598.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 590.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 75c | 550$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…55b1backed Yes | 7c | 541.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80d…ea8fbacked Yes | 35c | 531.24$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…f443backed Yes | 6c | 511$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 7c | 508.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…b0b9backed Yes | 7c | 480$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c19…bce0backed Yes | 7c | 458$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf53d…c7e6backed Yes | 7c | 441$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…d137backed Yes | 7c | 414$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 3c | 405.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…7729backed Yes | 8c | 394$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd94e…c5c4backed Yes | 6c | 385$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf03…642dbacked Yes | 6c | 378$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa97…d1d3backed Yes | 6c | 376$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…d718backed Yes | 3c | 375$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…1725backed Yes | 7c | 318$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…38dabacked Yes | 4c | 289$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…aca5backed Yes | 7c | 286.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73c…a778backed Yes | 8c | 280$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888e…6974backed Yes | 8c | 279$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ca…2f90backed Yes | 7c | 270$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…8fc8backed Yes | 7c | 266.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 5c | 263.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e91…42e5backed Yes | 16c | 243.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…4394backed Yes | 8c | 236$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…b00bbacked Yes | 8c | 236$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…f902backed Yes | 6c | 231$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…03a6backed Yes | 7c | 224$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…1609backed Yes | 7c | 224$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…14b3backed Yes | 6c | 218$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e0…ac55backed Yes | 8c | 206$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed No | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59a…f6babacked Yes | 6c | 197$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…4135backed Yes | 8c | 186$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e60…1df5backed Yes | 8c | 184$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2f…eb58backed Yes | 7c | 178$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…2761backed Yes | 7c | 177$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…aa35backed Yes | 7c | 170$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00aa…d3a0backed Yes | 8c | 168$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…c464backed Yes | 8c | 161$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d0…292bbacked Yes | 7c | 161$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…7cccbacked Yes | 8c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…003abacked Yes | 7c | 158$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…f9c1backed Yes | 8c | 157$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d7…6e1dbacked Yes | 8c | 146$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…edadbacked Yes | 7c | 141$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…9474backed No | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 14c | 108.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…c5ddbacked No | 63c | 93.72$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…cf68backed No | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…27cbbacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc803…3ffcbacked Yes | 31c | 64.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 19c | 51.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691e…d59dbacked No | 77c | 51.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 62c | 43.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 77c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…ad8fbacked No | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…c8f5backed No | 77c | 26.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.