Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e042a9aa031ef55ce617191ea4076ce1ce79757b2a6946ac7a9249b47ba4e71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,141,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,979,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,141,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 11c | 207,652$23,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,582.25 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 13c | 69,594$9,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,293.33 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…c004backed Yes | 1c | 50,855$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.45 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…5d9cbacked Yes | 3c | 50,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 12c | 46,000$5,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,447.3 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…0ff0backed Yes | 11c | 35,988$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…c200backed Yes | 16c | 33,333$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 79c | 22,558$17,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.32 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 19c | 21,200$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.03 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes | 2c | 21,006$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.61 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 13c | 20,355$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.33 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 11c | 19,948$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.77 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 14c | 19,824$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.56 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 13c | 19,502$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.92 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 18,998$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.48 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 13c | 18,019$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.68 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…e0adbacked Yes | 2c | 14,727$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +590.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed No | 78c | 13,000$10,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…06eebacked Yes | 18c | 12,586$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.56 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 1c | 10,994$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.62 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…f021backed Yes | 26c | 10,500$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 21c | 10,182$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.62 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…02ccbacked Yes | 1c | 10,084$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…2124backed Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 12c | 9,832$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.42 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec35…cea9backed Yes | 9c | 9,157$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.61 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 12c | 8,399$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 2c | 8,372$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 24c | 7,873$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.01 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 7,600$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.39 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…6541backed Yes | 28c | 7,000$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd952…8c9bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,673$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…77ecbacked Yes | 18c | 5,460$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 17c | 5,454$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.59 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ce…d575backed Yes | 25c | 5,204$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed Yes | 1c | 5,182$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 10c | 5,166$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.4 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…f388backed Yes | 1c | 5,015$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…c666backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…688bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,211$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,083$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.28 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…6e41backed Yes | 1c | 3,986$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…614dbacked Yes | 33c | 3,895$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 74c | 3,641$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.57 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 28c | 3,599$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.33 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 25c | 3,520$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 18c | 3,467$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.97 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…57bdbacked Yes | 20c | 3,465$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d21…be51backed Yes | 3c | 3,448$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…2370backed Yes | 15c | 3,367$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 19c | 3,105$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0681…07babacked Yes | 40c | 3,044$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…d4d4backed Yes | 16c | 3,042$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes | 7c | 3,019$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 8c | 2,946$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.23 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,940$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.09 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d15…c1c2backed Yes | 17c | 2,922$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3755…4f02backed Yes | 24c | 2,736$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…0a77backed Yes | 4c | 2,703$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,653$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +269.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 78c | 2,577$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.12 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…02cabacked Yes | 2c | 2,222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yes | 2c | 2,189$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed Yes | 4c | 2,110$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +226.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 7c | 2,097$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,077$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x136d…0398backed Yes | 19c | 2,034$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…0149backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…790ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,959$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.18 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…fb0abacked Yes | 24c | 1,890$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf9…cffdbacked Yes | 12c | 1,874$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.57 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…0bdbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,788$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…888cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,723$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0757…6daebacked Yes | 10c | 1,722$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 78c | 1,692$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.05 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…04a3backed Yes | 11c | 1,672$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7590backed Yes | 13c | 1,613$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…6bcfbacked Yes | 32c | 1,585$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -90%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…f538backed Yes | 15c | 1,558$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…7b7ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…f810backed No | 77c | 1,500$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.31 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed No | 76c | 1,500$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf803…b464backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7056…b9a9backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,390$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +110%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…7e20backed Yes | 20c | 1,386$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.49 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…8976backed No | 73c | 1,365$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…9232backed Yes | 2c | 1,361$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec9…260ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,351$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228d…7b7ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,175$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…fc22backed Yes | 22c | 1,167$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…cd8dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,160$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,157$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,157$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…a6d0backed Yes | 24c | 1,098$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…9074backed Yes | 18c | 1,089$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ae…a59ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,059$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $1900 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2000 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2200 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2400 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.