Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d1c491c5e9b3bab9ee08bf489828a4693a5a5c12d3de8e8e828c002cab8be20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked No | 6c | 28,643$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.46 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 28c | 19,226$5,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,883.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…688bbacked Yes | 67c | 15,925$10,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,256.27 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…6b07backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 43c | 14,238$6,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,061.28 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 39c | 14,070$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,649.55 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8e…2af4backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…a190backed Yes | 20c | 10,900$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,720 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +357.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 27c | 10,720$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,794.41 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…90debacked No | 50c | 9,072$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…68c1backed No | 74c | 8,445$6,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,222.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…c700backed No | 36c | 6,596$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.89 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed No | 74c | 6,540$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed No | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 15c | 5,050$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.31 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes | 80c | 5,000$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…4193backed Yes | 59c | 4,814$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 38c | 4,078$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.51 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 57c | 4,000$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 61c | 3,934$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 22c | 3,123$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.35 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…fb0abacked Yes | 60c | 2,832$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 78c | 2,780$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.4 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…55b5backed Yes | 25c | 2,740$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +424.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked No | 28c | 2,651$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…c356backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 78c | 1,900$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 23c | 1,831$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.33 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…9766backed No | 74c | 1,746$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…6541backed Yes | 21c | 1,708$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 72c | 1,540$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.9 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…8a33backed Yes | 28c | 1,522$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.68 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…ff05backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…8186backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…2cf1backed No | 79c | 998.99$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked Yes | 71c | 853.02$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 42c | 784.23$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.35 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b81…274cbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…76a2backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 23c | 591.3$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.3 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed Yes | 30c | 527.64$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +226.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…6034backed No | 70c | 454.83$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97d9…04e2backed No | 76c | 401.35$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 63c | 400.88$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.78 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 400$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed No | 77c | 350$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 73c | 341.63$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.39 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 39c | 340.84$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.45 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 337.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…a2ecbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 33c | 300$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.58 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked No | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 34c | 294.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 79c | 273.1$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 67c | 221$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…0c9ebacked Yes | 49c | 203.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…1af1backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…f810backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…9684backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed No | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…6ac7backed Yes | 20c | 166.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…08fabacked Yes | 17c | 165.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 32c | 155.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 68c | 144.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 79c | 136$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked No | 43c | 135.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…fb67backed Yes | 17c | 128.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed No | 76c | 111$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab32…7706backed No | 69c | 101$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8743backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92ad…bab5backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff10…f08cbacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…3175backed No | 72c | 86.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x228d…7b7ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bb…5f1ebacked No | 70c | 65.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…54b3backed Yes | 27c | 54.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…4f65backed Yes | 30c | 52.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…1385backed Yes | 26c | 51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 50.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 32c | 46.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 47c | 45.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…851fbacked Yes | 33c | 44.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…8c9cbacked Yes | 26c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…fb88backed Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…302bbacked Yes | 24c | 41.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2200 in May?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $1900 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2000 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2400 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.