Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21eb051cb37d741b18318264e8fc89722813e3029c0d92311cc14aea8618e232
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,277,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,194,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,277,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 4c | 172,085$6,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,403.8 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 2c | 52,246$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.57 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 4c | 50,959$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.97 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…c004backed Yes | 5c | 32,904$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.85 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…7ec3backed Yes | 3c | 29,044$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.93 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 6c | 24,289$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…0ff0backed Yes | 4c | 19,840$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3755…4f02backed Yes | 5c | 18,937$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…c1ffbacked Yes | 2c | 18,235$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…3455backed Yes | 5c | 18,060$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.46 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…fcc0backed Yes | 5c | 17,010$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…f021backed Yes | 5c | 16,979$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c2…836bbacked Yes | 3c | 15,484$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 3c | 14,831$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.67 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 3c | 14,488$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…003fbacked Yes | 1c | 11,124$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 10,382$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 4c | 10,102$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.77 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 3c | 10,003$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.96 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 8c | 9,067$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.98 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d15…c1c2backed Yes | 5c | 7,700$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 2c | 7,204$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6952…6541backed Yes | 1c | 6,719$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…a6d0backed Yes | 3c | 6,460$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…4557backed Yes | 2c | 6,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 5,729$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.34 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 3c | 5,342$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 5c | 5,300$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.22 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…4debbacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca5…701abacked Yes | 2c | 4,396$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14c…e5ebbacked Yes | 2c | 4,241$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 8c | 4,036$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.43 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 9c | 4,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf9…cffdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,958$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.22 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…06eebacked Yes | 7c | 3,939$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.18 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed Yes | 4c | 3,920$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +226.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…c0e9backed Yes | 1c | 3,864$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00bd…3bdfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,813$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…d4c7backed Yes | 1c | 3,668$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…2370backed Yes | 7c | 3,653$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228d…7b7ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,492$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,321$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…a1a4backed Yes | 3c | 3,260$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0f…1b64backed Yes | 7c | 3,046$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…d8fdbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec35…cea9backed Yes | 3c | 2,909$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…dc2cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,632$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…a86bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,501$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3346…5551backed Yes | 1c | 2,435$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,158$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b34…c99ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,092$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +269.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…6bcfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,080$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -90%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Yes | 5c | 1,963$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a5…642cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,956$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ca…5c02backed Yes | 1c | 1,875$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…711cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,806$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…389dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,765$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 1,749$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 1c | 1,663$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,446$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…cd8dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,400$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 2c | 1,365$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2462…31aebacked Yes | 8c | 1,249$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 1,247$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa64…72e3backed Yes | 7c | 1,198$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,099$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c4…7ccbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,013$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c20…0a7ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,004$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ce…f646backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…8ac9backed Yes | 6c | 999.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…a9d3backed Yes | 3c | 960.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…a320backed Yes | 2c | 920$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…82a7backed Yes | 2c | 821.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 2c | 788.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…67a5backed Yes | 3c | 774.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…0bdbbacked Yes | 6c | 767.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f71…912dbacked Yes | 5c | 732.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…6b07backed Yes | 4c | 718.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…c5afbacked Yes | 6c | 715$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…0149backed Yes | 7c | 685.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 6c | 673.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…cccabacked Yes | 3c | 650.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddb…ca89backed Yes | 4c | 631.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…6548backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcaa…78e2backed Yes | 8c | 586.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…eb99backed Yes | 5c | 576.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7590backed Yes | 4c | 527.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…889abacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…ed9abacked Yes | 4c | 497.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 6c | 491.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…e3b2backed Yes | 7c | 483.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1b…c413backed Yes | 2c | 425$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…6fc8backed Yes | 4c | 424.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…f911backed Yes | 5c | 402$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…a315backed Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…9ec4backed Yes | 4c | 391$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…ac5fbacked Yes | 8c | 371$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $1900 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2000 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2200 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2400 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.