Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2400 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaac0ee2a1edcfe3b19b0277aec437e6d114ee2e8356eba924f2db2434a763ce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $344,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked No | 7c | 17,487$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.07 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes | 14c | 11,320$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,741.68 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 34c | 10,650$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,021.09 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 45c | 9,370$4,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,119.54 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 11c | 8,225$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,314.95 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…90debacked No | 41c | 8,203$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 30c | 7,940$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,539.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes | 46c | 7,863$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,236.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…c700backed Yes | 66c | 6,147$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.21 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 17c | 4,857$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.88 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 44c | 4,689$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.6 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 10c | 4,675$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.64 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 72c | 4,352$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.64 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…f388backed Yes | 7c | 3,544$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.16 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 8c | 3,479$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.3 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 40c | 3,375$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 12c | 3,100$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…a190backed Yes | 12c | 3,068$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +357.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.9 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…688bbacked Yes | 38c | 2,606$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…7bacbacked Yes | 15c | 2,600$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +315.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 20c | 2,503$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.51 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 70c | 2,277$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.76 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…4ff0backed Yes | 12c | 2,156$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +275.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked No | 37c | 1,898$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.29 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…fb0abacked Yes | 61c | 1,866$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 77c | 1,835$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.05 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 11c | 1,675$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.58 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x573b…3436backed Yes | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…55b5backed Yes | 14c | 1,320$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +424.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 1c | 1,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 11c | 1,123$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…a3c3backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked Yes | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 30c | 920.58$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.19 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e0…02b0backed Yes | 12c | 831.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed Yes | 13c | 820$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +226.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…6fc5backed No | 21c | 799.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…bd2cbacked Yes | 14c | 764.29$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 72c | 727$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.17 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…a50ebacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…76a2backed Yes | 14c | 693.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Yes | 66c | 576.26$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…a0cdbacked No | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +385.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed No | 63c | 497.25$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…fbe9backed Yes | 64c | 482.19$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 38c | 425.03$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.07 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 43c | 419.38$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.28 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 7c | 399.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…afe0backed Yes | 64c | 346.8$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…484abacked No | 51c | 334.51$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 33c | 325.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.26 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4677…75c2backed Yes | 10c | 299.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed No | 37c | 289.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 43c | 277.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.56 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…874fbacked No | 72c | 277$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 54c | 248.52$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.32 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…30e7backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8a…61a1backed No | 6c | 213.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…ed9abacked Yes | 10c | 204.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…dbddbacked Yes | 63c | 159.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…543fbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed No | 41c | 142$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…4c01backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…93d6backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30a…70ebbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…0bdbbacked Yes | 60c | 126$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 14c | 108.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3617…6173backed Yes | 13c | 104.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…243dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…5edfbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 15cpaid | +394.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed No | 38c | 94.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8e6dbacked Yes | 58c | 86.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e5…ef0ebacked Yes | 27c | 73.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 66.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…69f9backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…0358backed Yes | 69c | 46.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 61 | 88.5%54 W · 7 L | +16.9wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…4041backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…851fbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 48c | 22.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3755…4f02backed Yes | 53c | 20.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…8aa7backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2400 in May?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $1900 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2000 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2200 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.