Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1a0116bd17ab083f12bb80be5a1a7e2bdba85bb5b859bf5236bf12b481efdd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $899,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $922,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $899,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked No | 4c | 71,778$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.46 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 47c | 38,808$18,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,570.95 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes | 3c | 36,267$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,232.46 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yes | 14c | 25,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 35c | 22,460$7,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,697.01 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…90debacked No | 45c | 20,218$9,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,131.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb26b…afd6backed No | 0c | 19,910$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 51c | 19,061$9,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,348.81 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 10c | 14,033$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,607.8 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked No | 44c | 12,198$5,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,341.74 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 19c | 11,908$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,624.22 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 51c | 11,681$5,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,702.23 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…fb0abacked Yes | 70c | 10,378$7,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…55b5backed Yes | 4c | 9,884$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,498 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +424.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 52c | 8,725$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…06eebacked Yes | 5c | 8,525$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,102.57 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…21c8backed Yes | 5c | 8,498$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,084.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 11c | 8,018$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,108.39 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 34c | 7,813$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,128.56 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked No | 42c | 6,865$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…688bbacked Yes | 15c | 6,586$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,610.93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…e0adbacked Yes | 4c | 5,571$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +590.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…68c1backed No | 65c | 5,224$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 35c | 4,920$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.91 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…c700backed No | 36c | 4,880$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.79 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 3c | 4,598$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.98 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e04…c004backed Yes | 6c | 4,263$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.54 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 56c | 4,235$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.99 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…52febacked Yes | 59c | 3,869$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 78c | 3,605$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.05 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 44c | 3,475$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.68 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 29c | 3,400$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…f388backed Yes | 3c | 3,247$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.87 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,036$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.07 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…7776backed No | 8c | 2,950$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 53c | 2,809$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.86 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c1…99fbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,649$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +292.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…d191backed Yes | 8c | 2,535$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,165.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 76c | 2,528$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.52 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 47c | 2,500$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.49 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed No | 7c | 2,400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 39c | 2,400$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 77c | 2,300$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.3 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed No | 49c | 2,200$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…7bacbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +315.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 46c | 1,850$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,700$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.9 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…4ff0backed Yes | 7c | 1,655$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +275.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…a3c3backed Yes | 62c | 1,616$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.66 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 71c | 1,413$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.29 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 15c | 1,247$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.67 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…a190backed Yes | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +357.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 1,176$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.21 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…6e41backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c594backed Yes | 50c | 991.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…f580backed Yes | 2c | 980.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,727.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed Yes | 4c | 967.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +226.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ce…6a24backed Yes | 54c | 915.94$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Yes | 66c | 868.33$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 61c | 813.86$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Yes | 31c | 813.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228d…7b7ebacked Yes | 5c | 731.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed No | 40c | 700$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 44c | 691.58$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.67 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…2735backed Yes | 6c | 690$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…afe0backed Yes | 50c | 687.14$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.7 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f7…89b4backed Yes | 4c | 674.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,531.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…fbe9backed Yes | 72c | 668.47$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Yes | 44c | 618.72$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d15…c1c2backed Yes | 50c | 601.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…5edfbacked Yes | 4c | 600$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 15cpaid | +394.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…22a6backed Yes | 3c | 565$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 3cpaid | +3,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 69c | 550.18$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.47 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed No | 39c | 502$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.17 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 34c | 501.9$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…d330backed Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,025%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…8186backed No | 52c | 500$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…a8febacked Yes | 3c | 495$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,471.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…ed9abacked Yes | 21c | 481.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6093…153dbacked Yes | 3c | 435$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,746.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…9074backed Yes | 50c | 401.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…2d14backed No | 76c | 400$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 58c | 391.54$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.91 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…756fbacked No | 71c | 380$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe074…0bdbbacked Yes | 54c | 356.1$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…0149backed Yes | 14c | 351.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed Yes | 64c | 340$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 67c | 320$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 4c | 317.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.58 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +269.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…5964backed Yes | 32c | 311.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…5aa5backed Yes | 4c | 309$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 4cpaid | +2,757.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1eb…56b0backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 3cpaid | +800.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…a7b1backed No | 70c | 300$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…dbddbacked Yes | 48c | 290.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 76c | 258$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c6…c9f9backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…52e1backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…9ce1backed No | 71c | 250$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $1900 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2000 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2200 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2400 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.