Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2000 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d2167263ae365132d331132461294ea3805a371aa9f799d5d43efe8c60ceca3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked No | 5c | 52,839$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.32 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…e3b2backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 56c | 18,666$10,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,193.47 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 54c | 14,967$8,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,811.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 58c | 9,612$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.32 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 56c | 8,713$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,802.36 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 57c | 8,265$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.64 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…90debacked No | 43c | 7,457$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…c700backed Yes | 71c | 5,520$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.37 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Yes | 60c | 5,008$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 41c | 4,899$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.74 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 37c | 4,000$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked No | 10c | 3,275$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.27 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 42c | 2,995$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.89 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 29c | 1,697$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.89 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed No | 21c | 1,622$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.49 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…21c8backed No | 3c | 1,600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 50c | 1,535$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.64 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 35c | 1,450$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.5 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked No | 49c | 1,373$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.18 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 56c | 1,164$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.2 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 46c | 998.1$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.43 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked No | 60c | 898.75$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 39c | 582.82$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.43 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af3…9215backed Yes | 61c | 568.65$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 563.91$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.77 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 60c | 496.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.64 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 31c | 452.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ca…6f9fbacked No | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…76a2backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 20c | 215.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked No | 42c | 207.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 45c | 199.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…2491backed No | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…0799backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…923dbacked Yes | 62c | 130.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…3175backed No | 45c | 128.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…d6e0backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 40c | 108.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…6975backed No | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa7…ff18backed Yes | 48c | 103$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…df10backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x550a…4fbcbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed No | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed No | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…9858backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…7070backed Yes | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…bcb3backed Yes | 59c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…0358backed Yes | 77c | 57.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 61 | 88.5%54 W · 7 L | +16.9wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…d0dfbacked Yes | 41c | 56.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1524…dc7abacked Yes | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b04…f5acbacked No | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…dbddbacked Yes | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…ae55backed Yes | 59c | 50.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…be6fbacked Yes | 56c | 50.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…9684backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 46c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc570…6128backed Yes | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…d8debacked No | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed No | 46c | 43.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa792…6784backed Yes | 56c | 42.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…67bcbacked No | 37c | 40.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…3d13backed No | 46c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…06a4backed Yes | 66c | 36.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…3ec9backed Yes | 56c | 35.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…af87backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…6effbacked No | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…bf9ebacked Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…65debacked No | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…bc2dbacked Yes | 64c | 32.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…3dc5backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…dda1backed No | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…3bbcbacked No | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…955abacked Yes | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 62c | 25.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2000 in May?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $1900 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2200 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2400 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.