Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x846ce8640ee9c1c75b25c06fa969e05056568f2fe94f7bb5f83400850bc36ac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $987,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $908,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $987,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 4c | 112,053$4,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,945.77 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…bd0abacked Yes | 29c | 105,385$30,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,392.26 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…c200backed Yes | 1c | 95,344$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed No | 59c | 40,487$24,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,398.74 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 71c | 22,179$15,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,753.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 62c | 20,925$12,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,930.04 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb068…80a2backed Yes | 5c | 14,803$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 13,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…3ed4backed No | 53c | 11,223$5,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,313.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 79c | 11,095$8,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.74 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 7c | 11,000$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 13c | 10,488$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.38 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 79c | 8,409$6,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.95 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 15c | 8,033$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.05 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed No | 30c | 6,959$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.1 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 24c | 6,827$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.91 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf23…b0f1backed Yes | 14c | 6,000$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…fb0abacked No | 45c | 5,536$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 3c | 5,345$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.66 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…0a0fbacked Yes | 57c | 4,959$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 23c | 4,684$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.81 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…8e10backed Yes | 67c | 4,583$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…7430backed Yes | 12c | 4,547$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 31c | 4,416$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.42 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Yes | 3c | 4,278$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…2005backed Yes | 67c | 4,096$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…c016backed Yes | 1c | 4,093$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…90debacked No | 34c | 3,937$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…c700backed No | 51c | 3,595$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.66 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed No | 69c | 3,057$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.56 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc73…2e18backed Yes | 65c | 2,965$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…c636backed Yes | 78c | 2,857$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed Yes | 16c | 2,847$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.35 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…6bcfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,381$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -90%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,149$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…93c9backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +226.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…e662backed Yes | 29c | 1,959$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 14c | 1,784$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.97 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…f388backed Yes | 6c | 1,772$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.32 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3c…5613backed No | 60c | 1,737$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…dce7backed Yes | 68c | 1,639$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…11fdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,634$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…389dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked No | 65c | 1,412$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.04 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed No | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 22c | 1,232$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.2 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…8a33backed Yes | 28c | 1,078$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddb…ca89backed Yes | 2c | 1,071$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 1,061$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf9…cffdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,029$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…2556backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…6e41backed Yes | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 991$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 967.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Yes | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 37c | 837.19$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.67 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8f…a613backed Yes | 65c | 782$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1a66backed Yes | 4c | 769$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…5c79backed Yes | 9c | 680.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 3c | 650$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d9…ecaabacked Yes | 6c | 650$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 23c | 609.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed No | 63c | 535.15$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…5da4backed Yes | 5c | 521.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Yes | 5c | 518.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…a86bbacked Yes | 5c | 502.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a90…93bfbacked No | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 22c | 489.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 29c | 487.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.13 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed No | 74c | 472.64$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…e4efbacked Yes | 4c | 429.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbd…cfbbbacked Yes | 6c | 354.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…fbecbacked No | 21c | 350$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 34c | 320$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed No | 26c | 310$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.83 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…2916backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…e6bfbacked Yes | 4c | 285$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4418…cb83backed Yes | 7c | 265$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…2ef1backed Yes | 67c | 216.73$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 69c | 199.82$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9944…b035backed Yes | 47c | 190.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b7…c5babacked Yes | 10c | 163.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5508…4380backed Yes | 10c | 155.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…d49ebacked No | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 33c | 133.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed No | 26c | 120$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb022…a3cabacked Yes | 42c | 104$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccee…5724backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…8186backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…37abbacked Yes | 72c | 87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…ef8ebacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08d8…cad6backed No | 27c | 67.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1524…dc7abacked No | 59c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $1900 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2000 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2200 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2400 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.