TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Hornets, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,911
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,911 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 751 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets32c29,829$9,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,690.171,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Raptors71c18,824$13,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,455.6629957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Raptors68c16,647$11,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,376.4429738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets33c13,150$4,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,339.471,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Raptors67c12,852$8,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,258.8833931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets35c9,884$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.6688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets1c6,910$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.688783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Raptors66c6,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9829747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors66c4,417$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.231,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Hornets33c3,636$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.8537734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors66c3,000$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors67c3,000$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.9140627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors67c2,922$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.1366853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets23c2,506$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.983,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Raptors66c2,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85036057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Raptors67c2,464$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.9347848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9a…529abacked Hornets34c2,382$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Raptors72c2,304$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.6930061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Raptors67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66022458.9%132 W · 92 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Hornets35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.942321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors73c1,600$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.725,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Raptors61c1,532$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.6334644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x179c…2d61backed Raptors68c1,524$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.591050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7be6…0530backed Hornets32c1,522$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0801…438abacked Hornets34c1,493$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Hornets33c1,389$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.0620238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors67c1,380$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.0173647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Raptors72c1,355$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.8323554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef4b…bdc9backed Raptors67c1,254$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.73742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Hornets18c1,197$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors76c1,140$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.731,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Raptors68c1,100$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35428341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hornets34c1,069$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.3370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Hornets35c1,050$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36813248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Raptors67c1,043$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8429643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Raptors73c1,036$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4947229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Hornets34c1,002$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.5920153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Hornets27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27048137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Raptors67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33026640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets17c996.63$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0561345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb63backed Raptors67c974.63$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.63616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-75.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Hornets33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9069…2b45backed Raptors67c895.52$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Raptors67c895.52$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.5219944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Raptors66c849.98$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.9937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Hornets33c757.82$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Raptors74c744.23$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.99442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x376d…3895backed Hornets34c741.18$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hornets33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Raptors68c600$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18950453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Raptors67c592.76$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7612759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2881…2ad5backed Hornets34c588.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.241643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets5c587.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5970640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Raptors69c579.5$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.547048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Hornets5c574.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets32c574.1$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Hornets34c569.79$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7326431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7f…1bd6backed Hornets10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hornets33c499.9$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9773051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Raptors67c450$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.518354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1be…19b7backed Raptors67c400.91$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.31154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets29c400.2$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2636434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Hornets25c395.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025336.8%93 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Raptors71c380.91$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Raptors68c368.81$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.814546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3caa…4a0bbacked Raptors76c361.94$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.242161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Hornets34c357.09$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12136423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets29c301.95$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.871,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Raptors67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5113959%82 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Raptors67c297.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1312659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hornets34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Hornets34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Raptors68c272.43$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3145743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Raptors67c264.57$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3118236.8%67 W · 115 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99ac…5e6ebacked Hornets19c249.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.36722.8%2 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.17per pick20cpaid-85.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0219…49efbacked Raptors66c234.95$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9f…2a46backed Raptors68c230$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.67640.8%31 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Raptors65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7095848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa929…1baabacked Raptors67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c28…3bcabacked Raptors67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666450%32 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…b24cbacked Raptors67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666145.9%28 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e8…affbbacked Raptors67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Hornets33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27d8…ddfcbacked Raptors67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac41…21b2backed Hornets33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x950b…6d88backed Raptors67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666341.3%26 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdddc…3ab5backed Raptors67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666346%29 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00a…61febacked Raptors67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67c…f843backed Hornets33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665040%20 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8119…59debacked Raptors67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc234…74b2backed Raptors67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665463%34 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x929d…1176backed Hornets33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2cd…fb96backed Hornets33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1bc…53f2backed Hornets33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…7e2fbacked Raptors67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9c1…a01ebacked Raptors67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4916…fdb3backed Hornets33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665046%23 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e80…b69dbacked Raptors67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.