NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f5a8fc6f836c33e09582d71a5698056bf1023edb061ad99d4db68950d0e2777
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Blackhawks, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Blackhawks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Sabres | 61c | 2,200$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.98 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Sabres | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Blackhawks | 5c | 1,642$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 1,609$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.53 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks | 2c | 931.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Blackhawks | 2c | 799.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 733.56$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.75 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks | 4c | 442.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Sabres | 55c | 439.61$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Blackhawks | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blackhawks | 7c | 360$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Sabres | 62c | 351.23$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks | 38c | 323.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c5…0feebacked Blackhawks | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cd…c341backed Sabres | 63c | 255.56$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Blackhawks | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Blackhawks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Blackhawks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sabres | 59c | 206.66$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81fd…0d12backed Blackhawks | 42c | 178.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…9fd4backed Sabres | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Blackhawks | 6c | 166$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 161.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Blackhawks | 38c | 159.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd57…c7e2backed Blackhawks | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Sabres | 64c | 157.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blackhawks | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Blackhawks | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sabres | 59c | 115.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Sabres | 59c | 111.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…3dc3backed Blackhawks | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f43…3d4dbacked Blackhawks | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Blackhawks | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…8ad2backed Sabres | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…3a60backed Sabres | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 97.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…770cbacked Sabres | 63c | 95.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Sabres | 64c | 95.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a5…011bbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 93.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 59c | 89.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…54d7backed Sabres | 60c | 83.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…a688backed Blackhawks | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…0fa9backed Blackhawks | 38c | 73.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Blackhawks | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…159bbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sabres | 60c | 64.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…8a90backed Blackhawks | 38c | 60.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ff…3fbebacked Sabres | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…b814backed Blackhawks | 39c | 57.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…220cbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 57.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…b2a1backed Sabres | 63c | 55.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…5907backed Blackhawks | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…0da9backed Blackhawks | 39c | 52.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…3535backed Blackhawks | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…fc91backed Blackhawks | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb466…8252backed Blackhawks | 39c | 50.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…44d4backed Blackhawks | 38c | 50.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked Sabres | 61c | 49.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Blackhawks | 41c | 49.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…1b88backed Sabres | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe365…ce64backed Blackhawks | 38c | 48.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1935backed Sabres | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7208…14e8backed Blackhawks | 38c | 45.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3166…af77backed Sabres | 59c | 43.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…26c6backed Blackhawks | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ef…b238backed Blackhawks | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…9243backed Sabres | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…06b7backed Sabres | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248d…27d2backed Sabres | 59c | 39.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…0f3abacked Sabres | 59c | 39.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…edd8backed Sabres | 59c | 39.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…cc37backed Blackhawks | 41c | 39.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…1208backed Blackhawks | 39c | 39.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8c…0485backed Sabres | 61c | 39.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34bf…c2f8backed Sabres | 62c | 38.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7034…a283backed Blackhawks | 38c | 38.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…b0cabacked Sabres | 62c | 38.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d00…f30cbacked Blackhawks | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…dd28backed Sabres | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…e4f4backed Blackhawks | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fa…5983backed Blackhawks | 38c | 37.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…f1febacked Sabres | 61c | 37.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f26…9d82backed Blackhawks | 39c | 37.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…107bbacked Sabres | 61c | 37.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…7146backed Sabres | 62c | 37.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…d713backed Sabres | 62c | 37.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…da78backed Sabres | 61c | 36.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…aef5backed Blackhawks | 39c | 36.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…d83abacked Sabres | 61c | 36.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…fc33backed Sabres | 61c | 36.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Sabres | 60c | 35.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…5075backed Sabres | 60c | 35.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed53…e02bbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 35.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…bdddbacked Sabres | 62c | 35.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d0…d902backed Sabres | 59c | 35.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…1e38backed Sabres | 61c | 35.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7e…cd35backed Blackhawks | 40c | 35.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.