TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35ef…b238

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT13343.6%58 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
76ers vs. Nuggetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Wizards vs. Celticsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$13.63
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$8.95
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.82
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.64
Trail Blazers vs. Hawksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$15.2
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$18.56
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+156.4%+$20.33
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.63
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$24.81
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Reds vs. Athleticsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
White Sox vs. Guardiansbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
White Sox vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.67
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.18
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
Guardians vs. Raysbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$17.33
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Yankees vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$9.73
Guardians vs. Rangersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Phillies vs. Rangersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.81
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$11.59
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Panthers vs. Ducksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.71
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+170.3%+$17.5
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$33.66
Rangers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$22.04
Sharks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$18.52
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Canucks vs. Utahbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Kings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+132.6%+$15.91
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Ducks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+44.9%+$6.29
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+156.4%+$18.77
All 19 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
zkSync airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$100.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.