TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Blues, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Blues43c3,504$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.613655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Stars57c2,347$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.1444848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Blues31c2,142$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.535545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd2…d60fbacked Stars68c2,095$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.55785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Blues43c2,093$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.0831334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Stars68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blues32c1,981$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.531,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Blues35c1,966$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.296657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Blues32c1,875$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Stars68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4807549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e68…a74dbacked Stars71c1,479$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.741266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked Stars67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301580%12 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Stars66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3405149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Stars49c720$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.25534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blues30c693.69$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0454349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Blues30c512.89$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1611445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Stars69c505.92$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9213562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Stars49c450$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.52142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Blues30c364.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7923144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues29c364.13$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.61,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars71c335.42$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.571,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x666f…d5d4backed Blues33c303.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.191,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blues30c287.85$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb5…b365backed Stars62c253.05$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.581861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blues31c204.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Stars50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Stars68c191.85$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.394645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Stars62c159.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7972448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Stars69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.550049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Blues45c144.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.637444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Stars70c144.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.294158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Blues33c122.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Blues38c115.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Blues28c104.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.383033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Blues38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Stars70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Stars69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Blues30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Blues31c99.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Blues31c94.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.455435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blues32c91.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6392848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9a…c496backed Stars70c81.43$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16e…5220backed Blues32c81.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Stars63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.378633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd13…a813backed Blues32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-72.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Blues33c74.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.452030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…f02dbacked Stars70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Blues56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Stars66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6339…bc97backed Stars64c68.47$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…5afebacked Blues49c60.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb72b…2f6cbacked Blues30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Stars72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.566959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Stars69c52.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.191952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x096e…8a38backed Stars69c48.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf23b…4957backed Stars62c48.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.251442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4642…676ebacked Blues31c47.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b96…f366backed Blues32c47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0265…ef4bbacked Stars68c44.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x756e…9fd0backed Blues31c44.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x753f…aee8backed Stars51c42.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf149…2f13backed Stars69c41.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Stars68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.873157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f53…8fdfbacked Stars68c39.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35ef…b238backed Blues32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed Blues48c35.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Stars70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.714266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1a…f57bbacked Blues32c35.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf30…d928backed Blues32c34.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9797…4e3dbacked Stars74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.783961.5%24 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick71cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd018…7b2cbacked Blues32c33.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Stars70c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.924457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d3…609ebacked Stars69c32.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+46.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Stars68c32.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56a…3af2backed Stars69c31.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02cf…b106backed Stars68c31.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.11683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f4c…9494backed Stars68c31.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f5…b323backed Stars69c31.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.764100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Stars64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2548654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa6…7721backed Blues32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Blues32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e6…77fbbacked Stars65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf967…e917backed Stars69c30.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc0…77dbbacked Stars69c29.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x761e…efa9backed Stars70c29.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5965…3628backed Stars69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.995354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Stars69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.997540%30 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Stars69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9919057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…4919backed Stars51c28.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.17955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38af…7d29backed Stars69c28.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.94616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Stars70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.579260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b3…0cd4backed Stars69c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.681275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0686…dbfabacked Stars69c27.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.624100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+92.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdde8…5443backed Stars68c27.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f6…d29dbacked Stars49c27.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…8ff1backed Stars49c27.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5713…ce51backed Stars67c26.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.871573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f01…8ebabacked Stars69c26.76$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.