NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x480e85799b0a382044051d15e4453b548abe85d601ec8ac338dc806d8dfb5bd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Kings, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 14c | 16,291$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,966.47 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Penguins | 10c | 13,978$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,523.96 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Penguins | 19c | 12,547$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,131.53 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Penguins | 18c | 6,469$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,304.21 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Penguins | 42c | 5,814$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,391.91 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Kings | 72c | 5,348$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…76e8backed Kings | 57c | 4,571$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…17e9backed Penguins | 43c | 3,571$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Penguins | 17c | 2,144$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.39 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…d9a4backed Penguins | 43c | 1,971$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…74d1backed Kings | 57c | 1,971$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Penguins | 15c | 1,698$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.5 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Kings | 58c | 1,544$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.88 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.92 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Penguins | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.9 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Kings | 58c | 1,200$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.99 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…1d20backed Kings | 57c | 1,172$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…5369backed Penguins | 43c | 1,172$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…118fbacked Penguins | 44c | 1,037$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a34…9ae5backed Kings | 56c | 1,036$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Kings | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…d87ebacked Penguins | 43c | 999.79$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…9b45backed Kings | 57c | 965$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…94f2backed Penguins | 43c | 960$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c8…8079backed Kings | 57c | 950.67$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 73c | 925.7$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.21 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 42c | 914.64$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.18 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Kings | 58c | 855.72$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb5…b6b6backed Kings | 56c | 666.02$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…0081backed Penguins | 44c | 666$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Kings | 80c | 651.23$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings | 61c | 547.27$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Kings | 59c | 527.41$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…6a86backed Kings | 58c | 517.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b6…9b04backed Penguins | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…9eb3backed Penguins | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e61…57d2backed Kings | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Kings | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Penguins | 42c | 482.31$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.47 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Penguins | 36c | 448.94$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Kings | 78c | 416.63$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.67 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Penguins | 42c | 404.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.46 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Penguins | 40c | 400$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Penguins | 50c | 373.82$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…2ee0backed Kings | 57c | 349.34$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…8210backed Penguins | 43c | 349.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Kings | 58c | 317.76$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 58c | 309.21$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Kings | 56c | 299.93$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Penguins | 49c | 281.63$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd09b…347fbacked Penguins | 43c | 281.56$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…309abacked Kings | 58c | 281.29$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Penguins | 41c | 275.74$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.11 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…6f2bbacked Kings | 57c | 260$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 43c | 255$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.77 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25be…801bbacked Penguins | 43c | 244.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…4d3ebacked Kings | 59c | 244.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15af…e753backed Kings | 57c | 240$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Kings | 58c | 214.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…b17bbacked Kings | 57c | 210$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f40…da68backed Penguins | 43c | 210$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…803abacked Penguins | 43c | 207.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…f63dbacked Kings | 57c | 207.96$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Kings | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Kings | 57c | 199.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa018…5dcfbacked Kings | 57c | 197.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…840abacked Penguins | 43c | 197.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Penguins | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Kings | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…2629backed Penguins | 42c | 179.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e16…ce1ebacked Penguins | 43c | 176.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8d…a27fbacked Kings | 57c | 176.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Kings | 58c | 173.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1299…356ebacked Kings | 57c | 170.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…03c5backed Penguins | 43c | 170.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Kings | 79c | 170.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Penguins | 41c | 169.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Kings | 59c | 160.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 60c | 150$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…ad54backed Penguins | 43c | 146.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf881…abafbacked Kings | 57c | 146.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…1fa4backed Penguins | 43c | 143.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…2752backed Kings | 58c | 141.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 41c | 134.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…4d8ebacked Penguins | 43c | 130.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Kings | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Penguins | 17c | 120$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…b823backed Penguins | 43c | 119.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…4361backed Kings | 57c | 119.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…e1f4backed Penguins | 42c | 110.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…5456backed Penguins | 43c | 103.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbd…a594backed Kings | 57c | 103.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6311…ae4bbacked Kings | 59c | 102.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…a1c2backed Penguins | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Kings | 70c | 101.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Penguins | 45c | 100.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kings | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Kings | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.