MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12913faece4b415cdfc2753bb2559507038cf7f84a9431382707f7dc355dd790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cardinals, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 62c | 15,824$9,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,975.51 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 38c | 10,125$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.46 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cubs | 61c | 6,575$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.24 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 39c | 4,846$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.94 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cardinals | 37c | 2,811$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.22 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cubs | 68c | 2,669$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.54 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 65c | 2,618$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.94 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.95 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Cubs | 62c | 1,930$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.9 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,603$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Cubs | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.99 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,499$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.73 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Cardinals | 32c | 1,258$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.45 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,072$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.64 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Cardinals | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cubs | 76c | 995.87$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.05 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 40c | 994.39$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 37c | 930$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cardinals | 2c | 799.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Cardinals | 31c | 779.98$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 39c | 775.67$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.51 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cardinals | 37c | 736.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.68 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 32c | 642.85$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Cardinals | 38c | 641.39$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.73 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Cardinals | 37c | 616$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.92 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 60c | 576.01$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.88 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cardinals | 19c | 537.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cardinals | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cardinals | 38c | 440$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Cubs | 62c | 430.68$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cardinals | 38c | 412$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Cardinals | 38c | 399.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 62c | 392$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…88febacked Cubs | 62c | 355$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…21d6backed Cardinals | 39c | 335$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d1…585fbacked Cardinals | 39c | 325$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Cubs | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cubs | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cubs | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cardinals | 37c | 260.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Cardinals | 6c | 233.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…a8ebbacked Cubs | 62c | 215$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Cubs | 62c | 207.74$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Cubs | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked Cardinals | 21c | 194.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Cubs | 67c | 179.96$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Cardinals | 38c | 178.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Cubs | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Cubs | 70c | 175.11$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Cubs | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Cubs | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Cubs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cardinals | 9c | 150.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…cb87backed Cardinals | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cubs | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Cardinals | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Cubs | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cubs | 63c | 129$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Cardinals | 39c | 126$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c6…5db4backed Cubs | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…1530backed Cubs | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…7d60backed Cubs | 63c | 107.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cubs | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Cardinals | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…84fabacked Cubs | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Cardinals | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Cardinals | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…1ae8backed Cardinals | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Cardinals | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Cardinals | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 39c | 85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cubs | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Cubs | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 68c | 69.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 78c | 60.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…a245backed Cubs | 63c | 60.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Cardinals | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Cubs | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cardinals | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…541dbacked Cubs | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…fbbcbacked Cubs | 62c | 46.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…5b53backed Cubs | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Cardinals | 39c | 42.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…4d77backed Cubs | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Cardinals | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…b88ebacked Cubs | 63c | 38.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe6…5cdabacked Cardinals | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad3…7044backed Cubs | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…889bbacked Cubs | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Cubsthis page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.