NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa45fa519424e5d7e73df2fa3f2f59437fc9c0b46e83a3bf697229f433cd23636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.86 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers | 79c | 3,259$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.9 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Panthers | 40c | 1,679$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.45 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Ducks | 20c | 1,650$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Ducks | 60c | 1,618$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.05 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 57c | 1,500$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.51 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6329…72b6backed Ducks | 2c | 1,315$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…5d1abacked Ducks | 1c | 1,312$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fab…8b27backed Ducks | 1c | 1,203$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…37b6backed Ducks | 2c | 1,183$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Panthers | 55c | 1,178$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.15 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Panthers | 76c | 1,058$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Panthers | 69c | 1,048$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.2 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Ducks | 40c | 1,046$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.58 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Panthers | 70c | 952.34$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.7 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Ducks | 21c | 911.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers | 70c | 863.97$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.19 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 69c | 831.02$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.28 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Ducks | 19c | 799.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 77c | 537.29$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Ducks | 29c | 517.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.16 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Panthers | 70c | 508.81$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Panthers | 69c | 505$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ea…4684backed Panthers | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…415fbacked Panthers | 69c | 452.18$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…50d6backed Ducks | 7c | 377.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…20a1backed Panthers | 70c | 365$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d0…ee28backed Ducks | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Panthers | 77c | 315.25$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 30c | 306.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…3917backed Panthers | 70c | 285.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Ducks | 9c | 274.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…a28bbacked Ducks | 9c | 239.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…3be0backed Ducks | 31c | 235.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…879bbacked Ducks | 31c | 221.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks | 20c | 211.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Ducks | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…8411backed Ducks | 14c | 194.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…7abcbacked Ducks | 10c | 192.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…a0eebacked Ducks | 31c | 171.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f6…bb42backed Ducks | 12c | 165.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…9edfbacked Ducks | 31c | 152.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…788bbacked Ducks | 25c | 150.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Panthers | 72c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Panthers | 79c | 149.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…d8d2backed Ducks | 31c | 149.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cf…db9cbacked Ducks | 22c | 147.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…154bbacked Ducks | 30c | 147.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Panthers | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Panthers | 70c | 142.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…90b7backed Ducks | 23c | 140.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…aa79backed Panthers | 70c | 135.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…16bfbacked Ducks | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Panthers | 70c | 132.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc7…4be2backed Ducks | 24c | 127.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Ducks | 34c | 119.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 69c | 117.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 31c | 113.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac4…e76bbacked Ducks | 31c | 110.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8f5ebacked Panthers | 70c | 110.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80b…9b55backed Ducks | 23c | 109.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…0c70backed Ducks | 28c | 107.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Ducks | 49c | 107.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…5c66backed Panthers | 70c | 100.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cd…93bcbacked Ducks | 23c | 100.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…1b3cbacked Ducks | 31c | 100.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Panthers | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Ducks | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…842bbacked Panthers | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Ducks | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Panthers | 69c | 99.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3104…ddd1backed Ducks | 24c | 97.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Panthers | 68c | 96.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…f2a2backed Ducks | 36c | 95.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…9f12backed Ducks | 30c | 93.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…cdc1backed Ducks | 31c | 93.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…7aecbacked Ducks | 23c | 92.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…67f6backed Ducks | 31c | 91.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…dd5ebacked Ducks | 29c | 90.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…587dbacked Ducks | 28c | 85.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…044abacked Ducks | 31c | 84.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…1069backed Ducks | 25c | 80.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…92d4backed Ducks | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Panthers | 55c | 79.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Ducks | 18c | 79.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…e3aebacked Panthers | 70c | 79.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab57…0da8backed Ducks | 35c | 79.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d48…fb21backed Ducks | 31c | 79.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Panthers | 70c | 77.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…c5e6backed Ducks | 19c | 76.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…71a3backed Panthers | 71c | 76.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…00aabacked Ducks | 26c | 76.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…ffecbacked Panthers | 70c | 76.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Panthers | 73c | 76.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…b138backed Ducks | 33c | 76.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…088bbacked Ducks | 35c | 75.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876a…d686backed Panthers | 70c | 74.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce8…c1afbacked Panthers | 71c | 74.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7486…469abacked Panthers | 71c | 73.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.