MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3421dab23a94762155b2d5d27fd4a99dd31efa31b868737a73b506e3ee0fac6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof White Sox, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed White Sox | 44c | 45,000$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Guardians | 56c | 32,308$18,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,215.52 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 59c | 20,702$12,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,485.89 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed White Sox | 42c | 20,591$8,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,587.82 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Guardians | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.99 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked White Sox | 43c | 12,999$5,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,589.57 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 66c | 10,341$6,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.05 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 36c | 6,938$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.68 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed White Sox | 43c | 5,003$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Guardians | 58c | 5,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 59c | 4,077$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.93 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Guardians | 57c | 3,806$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.58 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 44c | 3,461$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.33 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 57c | 3,329$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.46 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Guardians | 64c | 3,173$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.99 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 63c | 2,763$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.37 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 65c | 2,144$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.33 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed White Sox | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox | 41c | 1,946$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.53 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 62c | 1,655$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.48 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Guardians | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed White Sox | 43c | 1,322$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 59c | 1,068$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox | 41c | 999.99$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.6 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 68c | 946.88$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.58 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed White Sox | 44c | 940$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.6 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed White Sox | 43c | 931$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 43c | 930$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.9 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked White Sox | 29c | 838$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.05 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Guardians | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…83dabacked Guardians | 57c | 686.65$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox | 44c | 654.6$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed White Sox | 41c | 643.29$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.75 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 39c | 599.97$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guardians | 58c | 591$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.03 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked White Sox | 44c | 576.41$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.62 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked White Sox | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Guardians | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed White Sox | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed White Sox | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked White Sox | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Guardians | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked White Sox | 37c | 388.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Guardians | 56c | 357.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox | 30c | 294.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked White Sox | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 61c | 247.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Guardians | 57c | 237.93$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Guardians | 58c | 220$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed White Sox | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed White Sox | 43c | 186$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…64dabacked Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed White Sox | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed White Sox | 43c | 167.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Guardians | 57c | 165.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked White Sox | 44c | 165$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Guardians | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed White Sox | 11c | 144$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 59c | 143.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox | 43c | 120.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked White Sox | 31c | 118.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed White Sox | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Guardians | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9486…eecdbacked Guardians | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…a9e7backed Guardians | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Guardians | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Guardians | 58c | 85.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked White Sox | 38c | 82.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd75…8cfebacked Guardians | 57c | 71.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Guardians | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked White Sox | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Guardians | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba24…a09bbacked Guardians | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Guardians | 58c | 58.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…07b0backed Guardians | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…8f72backed White Sox | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Guardians | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…525dbacked Guardians | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed White Sox | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Guardians | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed White Sox | 44c | 44.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Guardians | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…3dbfbacked Guardians | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed White Sox | 46c | 41.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked White Sox | 41c | 41.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Guardians | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Guardians | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Guardians | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Guardians | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b70…788bbacked Guardians | 58c | 39.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Guardians | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Guardians | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- White Sox vs. Guardiansthis page
- Spread: Guardians (-1.5)Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.