TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof White Sox, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$563,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$567,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,016 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox43c378,858$162,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215,948.841,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins57c358,370$204,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204,264.5638043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed White Sox44c89,217$39,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,197.3335952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Twins57c79,999$45,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,377.2160249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Twins56c52,155$29,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,206.89440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed White Sox44c11,364$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.6419649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Twins56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4807659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Twins57c7,154$4,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,077.7833845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked White Sox44c6,509$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,645.286258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Twins57c6,086$3,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,493.134341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Twins33c5,448$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.529,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox44c4,222$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.6263152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox42c2,570$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.41,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Twins56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked White Sox43c1,860$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.21,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x394b…0cecbacked White Sox79c1,466$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox43c1,308$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.722,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a27…b9ddbacked White Sox43c1,280$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.681553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68483248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked White Sox56c1,109$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.026845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox70c1,053$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.941,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Twins58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked White Sox43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5707247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox75c1,000$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.22,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed White Sox44c999.92$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9632042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed White Sox43c860.57$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.639842.9%42 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed White Sox55c781.38$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1921747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed White Sox43c726.74$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.2470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed White Sox43c720$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.420748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox42c714$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.121,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…0a55backed Twins55c690.18$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.62755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Twins56c651.28$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.7211449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins41c643.76$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.564,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox43c499.77$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.43,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Twins68c476.13$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.772,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed White Sox78c469.42$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1978445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed White Sox43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox41c463.16$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.2751347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Twins3c412.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.992242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Twins58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23217243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fdd…742dbacked White Sox45c354$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.76845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Twins59c344.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.711,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked White Sox42c305$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.916552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Twins56c260$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.61,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1888…e1cbbacked White Sox44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.273043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Twins56c202.52$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4127751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed White Sox42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…d68cbacked Twins55c193.44$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.496657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Twins56c179$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2415033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Twins56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006847.1%32 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3b6…97b7backed Twins57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Twins59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed White Sox43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7978454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Twins57c159.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1912152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins63c158.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0270841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Twins56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.31,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Twins56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3835245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox53c134.32$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Twins59c128.58$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8612,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked White Sox44c124.2$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.551,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe913…74fbbacked White Sox43c119.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.022839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed White Sox42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0540144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc86d…7d43backed Twins58c116.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.343348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7968…5283backed Twins58c110.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.133253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Twins55c107.78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2830151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6205…19febacked White Sox43c100.67$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.382552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Twins17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1745732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Twins51c94.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4230740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox49c94.95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.421,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked White Sox45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.898940.4%36 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked White Sox43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.669547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Twins56c64.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9466250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d4f…3d87backed White Sox44c63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.378456%47 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2efa…6a09backed Twins57c61.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.182867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked White Sox42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.82,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4b…94d4backed White Sox42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.825155.4%139 W · 112 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed White Sox43c55.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9773149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Twins59c54.36$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.076,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf62…227dbacked White Sox42c48.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0718850%94 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed White Sox42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6288549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked White Sox75c47.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8910459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x485d…5907backed Twins57c47.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked White Sox43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5114146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066e…7c1dbacked Twins57c45.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Twins58c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.134257.6%197 W · 145 L+25.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed White Sox45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4414450.7%73 W · 71 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…a9f8backed Twins58c44.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.552450%12 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900b…34bcbacked White Sox44c43.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.188750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…cf01backed White Sox43c40.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233129%9 W · 22 L-7.1wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x66df…f2cebacked White Sox43c40.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.913070%21 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+34.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed White Sox51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5931547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b98…1b3cbacked Twins56c39.29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Twins60c36.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1739160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2000…df78backed Twins55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204843.8%21 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dcb…3b30backed Twins58c35.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.773056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f9e…528dbacked White Sox42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed White Sox42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7124051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c5…bf7abacked Twins57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019242.2%81 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.